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Texas Tech vs. Iowa State: NCAAF Week 6 Picks and Game Predictions

Texas Tech vs. Iowa State: NCAAF Week 6 Picks and Game Predictions
Head coach Matt Wells of the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images/AFP

The Texas Tech Raiders (1-2) road trip as the underdogs to the No. 24 Iowa State Cyclones (2-1) for a Saturday afternoon Big 12 showdown. 

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Iowa State Cyclones 

Saturday, October 10, 2020 – 03:30 PM EDT at Jack Trice Stadium

Texas Tech opened up as the 13 point underdogs against Iowa State, but now the best sportsbooks have this game at 12 ½. The Red Raiders will be looking to end a four-game losing streak to the Cyclones. 

Why Red Raiders Will Win

Texas Tech needs this win in the books to prevent an embarrassing 1-3 start. But, it’s on the road, and the Red Raiders have lost six of their last seven road games. Their offense has something going and will be able to stop the one big thing cooking for Iowa, their pass rush. 

The Cyclones currently lead the Big 12 in sacks with their sack monsters Ja’Quan Bailey and Will McDonald taking the reins. However, Texas Tech thrives on its quick-hitting attack play that gets the ball out of the quarterback’s hands fast. 

So far this season, the Red Raiders have allowed just one sack in the first three games. The offense has collected over 440 yards in all three games by third-down conversion. They have been able to convert the ball on the final down 55% of the time. 

On the opposing team, the Cyclones QB Brock Purdy is good, but not great. He had a great game against TCU and made some shining efforts against Oklahoma. Still, the junior QB isn’t consistent. 

Why Cyclones Will Win

Iowa State is looking for their third straight win after upsetting Oklahoma last weekend. When Purdy was a freshman, he managed to beat Texas Tech in an ugly fashion. Last year, he was a lot better, recording 378 yards with three scores and an interception to win once again. 

Texas Tech isn’t sure about their quarterback situation. Starting QB Alan Bowman is expected to play after going down against Kansas State with an ankle injury. Just in case, former Utah State Aggie Henry Colombi is to be ready to step up. He played fairly well when he took over the last game, hitting 71% of his throws for 244 yards and two scores. Still, Iowa wins in the QB position. 

Purdy should have himself a day against the Texas Tech defense that has allowed 1,040 yards in three games. As long as he keeps the chains moving and keeps the clock under control this time, the other side of the Cyclone ball will be able to hold their own. 

Prediction 

Texas Tech might have a better team than they did last year, but unfortunately, they don’t have the NFL's MVP quarterback Patrick Mahomes front and center anymore. Iowa state has their weapons covered on both sides of the ball.

However, we do have to remember that Texas Tech took the top-ranked Texas Longhorns into overtime. Iowa State can lean on Purdy against this rocky pass defense, but still, the Red Raiders will stay in the game to barely cover the spread.

My Free Pick: Texas Tech Red Raiders +12½ ( -110) at BookMaker (visit our BookMaker Review)

Texas Tech +12.5-110
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