Terps' Durkin Leads Worst Big Ten Coaches Against the Spread

Thursday, June 28, 2018 12:38 PM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 28, 2018 12:38 PM UTC

Maryland's D.J. Durkin, Illinois' Lovie Smith and Indiana's Tom Allen are the worst at covering the spread among Big Ten football coaches. Check out when best to avoid betting this bunch here.

<h2>D.J. Durkin, Maryland</h2><ul> <li>ATS Record: 9-16 (36.0 percent)</li> <li>ATS Margin: -4.8</li> <li>Avg. Line: 3.4</li></ul><p>Last week, Maryland’s new athletic director Damon Evans called Durkin “a little bit snakebit” in reference to the Terps’ 10-15 SU record since 2016. Evans justified the mark on a litany of injuries, and the fact the program plays in the tougher of the Big Ten’s two divisions (East). “I believe in D.J. Durkin .. .we were out looking for coaches, and I believe then and I believe now that he is the right man for the job,” Evans told reporters. Is this a dreaded vote of confidence or a sincere endorsement? The seat is definitely warm.</p><p>Betting market results show Durkin’s team is lacking strong FBS talent and fail to show up against stronger opponents. Maryland is <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/" rel="nofollow">5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite</a> under Durkin, twice beating up on FCS foes. In all other contests, it is 5-15 SU and ATS, failing to cover a 10.2-point average line by a whopping 8.7 points per game. Not staying within a touchdown of market projections in this case affirms some underlying issues with the program.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;DJ Durkin and Mark Turgeon in attendance for the introduction of Damon Evans as &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/Terps?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#Terps&lt;/a&gt; AD. &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/hJ4qYouYyU\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/hJ4qYouYyU&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Aaron Oster (@TheAOster) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/TheAOster/status/1011613890172669952?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;June 26, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2>Lovie Smith, Illinois</h2><ul> <li>ATS Record: 9-15 (37.5 percent)</li> <li>ATS Margin: -3.5</li> <li>Avg. Line: 10.6</li></ul><p>Smith perpetually bankrupts backers. He’s served as a head coach for 14 years in both the professional (Chicago, Tampa Bay) and collegiate (Illinois) ranks, compiling a winning record against the spread just three times in a season. Two of those occurred in his first three years (2005, 2006) leading the Bears. The only bet-friendly season since came in <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nfl-football/" rel="nofollow">2010 (10-7-1 ATS)</a>, when Chicago reached the NFC Championship Game.</p><p>The transition to the Illini is arguably the lowest point in Smith’s career. He’s won just five games outright in two seasons. The team is at its worst in the betting market when projected to be somewhat competitive, and not catching buckets of points on the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/kent-state-golden-flashes-vs-illinois-fighting-illini-3448211/#matchup" rel="nofollow">NCAAF oddsboard.</a> Six times Illinois matched up against an opponent with an average scoring margin difference of negative 16 points or less. It is 5-1 ATS in this situation, kicking off an average 26.0-point underdog. It is 3-13 SU and ATS in all other contests, failing to cover an 8.6 average line by a touchdown.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"und\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;😎&lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/NationalSunglassesDay?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#NationalSunglassesDay&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/Illini?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#Illini&lt;/a&gt; 🔶🔷 &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/7FpJR0rkzr\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/7FpJR0rkzr&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Illini Football (@IlliniFootball) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/IlliniFootball/status/1012095211806363648?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;June 27, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2>Tom Allen, Indiana</h2><ul> <li>ATS Record: 10-13-1 (43.5 percent)</li> <li>ATS Margin: -0.2</li> <li>Avg. Line: 1.0</li></ul><p>Allen is a defensive guru, moving the unit from one of the worst in the FBS to a middling outfit in just two years. The problem is it can’t hold down the Big Ten’s strongest offenses.</p><p>Since 2016, the Hoosiers are <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/college-football/indiana-hoosiers-vs-florida-international-golden-panthers-3448210/#matchup" rel="nofollow">6-12 SU and 6-11-1 ATS in Big Ten play.</a> They’ve won each of four games against opponents averaging 23.5 points or less entering a matchup, going 3-1 ATS. Indiana is 2-10 SU and 3-8-1 ATS against all other division foes, yielding 32.5 points per game. This number needs to come down significantly. Indiana’s trademark up-tempo, high-scoring offense can only take them so far. Big Ten teams went 10-58 SU and 16-50-2 ATS in conference contests last season when surrendering more than 24 points.</p>
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