Tennessee Volunteers vs. Georgia Bulldogs - Free College Football Picks

Georgia Bulldogs Player Rushing With Ball

Willie Bee

Wednesday, September 28, 2016 2:17 PM GMT

Wednesday, Sep. 28, 2016 2:17 PM GMT

Tennessee can take control of the SEC East Division with a victory over Georgia this Saturday, and the Vols are field goal favorites on the NCAA football odds to get it done.

Look, there's no question the Tennessee Volunteers are in control of the SEC East, that point is not debatable. Their win over Florida last week was indeed impressive, coming back from the dead in the first half to win and cover as nearly touchdown favorites.

And, yes, there's no question the Georgia Bulldogs looked like dawg you-know-what in dropping a 45-14 turd at Ole Miss.

But as tough as it can be sometimes, let's take a look at this game with less focus on last week, and a bigger look at how both teams arrive at a matchup with huge conference and national implications. Catch it on CBS beginning at 3:30 PM (ET), a packed house at Sanford Stadium on hand to see their Bulldogs getting 3½ at Heritage, where you will find 50% Sign Up Cash Bonus, up a half from the opener. As the spread got wider, the total has fallen from 54 to 53.

 

Vols With 4-Straight Covers In Series
Last year's meeting in Knoxville was really two games in one. Georgia came out strong, scoring on defense and special teams to take a 24-3 lead with about 3½ minutes left in the first half. That's when Tennessee, a 2½ point underdog on the NCAA football odds, finally woke up and scored 28 unanswered points before getting into the end zone with about six minutes left in the game to pull off a 38-31 victory.

The win helped the Volunteers to a 22-21lead in the rivalry, two more contests ending in ties. It also broke a 5-game Bulldogs win streak in the series.

Tennessee's mild upset also marked the fourth consecutive time the Volunteers beat the spread in their matchups with Georgia. The last four get-togethers have also gone 'over' the totals, and six of the last seven contests cashing for high-side bettors.

 

Will Chubb Be Able To Answer The Bell?
Those 'over' winners stand in contrast to current trends for games involving Georgia, especially when the Bulldogs are at home where the last eight contests played between the hedges failed to reach the totals. 'Under' bettors have also been cleaning up regardless where the Bulldogs play, totals running 5-16 O/U the last 21.

There are several key injuries to factor into this matchup, beginning with Tennessee's walking wounded on the defensive side. Darrin Kirkland Jr. (ankle) is doubtful after missing the last two games, and fellow linebacker Jalen Reeves-Maybin (shoulder) is questionable. Two members of the defensive line, Danny O'Brien and LaTroy Lewis, are also questionable.

The big one for Georgia is junior tailback Nick Chubb who injured his ankle in the loss to Ole Miss. Chubb was hurt in the second quarter after 12 carries, and did not return to the field. Head Coach Kirby Smart indicated Chubb might be a game-time decision this Saturday.

A somewhat wet start to the week in Athens should clear out and turn into some nice weather for Saturday. Current forecasts call for sunny skies, the afternoon high climbing into the low-80s and only a mild westerly breeze so as not to disturb passers or kickers.

The injuries make it all the more difficult to feel strong one way or another for my free college football pick. I'm going to ride the trend in games at Athens and go with the 'under.'

Season: 9-12-1 (-3.55)

Free College Football Pick: Under 53 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3027772, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

comment here