Teams With Great Defenses That Add Value to Your Week 7 College Football Picks

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, October 14, 2015 7:00 PM GMT

Wednesday, Oct. 14, 2015 7:00 PM GMT

In this article we isolate the Top 10 Super Defenses for the first half of the 2015 season to help you place your college football picks for the rest of the year.

We have played 6 weeks of the 2015 CFB season with many squads having already completed 50% of their regular season schedule.  With teams now well-entrenched into the conference season, it is time to take a look at the nation’s best defenses.  In this era of high-tech offenses, most notably exhibited in the Big 12 and Pac-12, it is still important to pay respect to the old adage that “defense wins football games.”  With that in mind, we take a look at the nation’s Top 10 Defenses and the parameters used to qualify these teams.

The first parameter is scoring because it is the bottom line by which all defenses are judged.  To qualify for our list of Super Ds, a team must allow 21 or fewer points per game.  That is a TD lower than the average.  The second key parameter is yards per game.  Our Super Ds must allow 300 or less YPG (a full 100 yards less than what most teams average).  A not so common defensive indicator is yards per play (YPP).  Yet, it is one of the best indicators of the combination of running and passing defense.  Great D’s allow 4.5 YPP or less in CFB.   Finally, we all know the importance of the running game in CFB.  To qualify as a great defense, our SUPER Ds must allow 125 RPG or less and 3.0 YPR or less. 

Using those criteria, I have isolated the Top 10 Super Defenses for the first half of the 2015 CFB season.  As you will read in the game analysis which accompany this article, there are 3 terrific opportunities to use teams on our list as double-digit underdog this week!

 

TEAM

PPG

RY

YPR

TY

YP PLAY

Alabama

16

77

2.6

265

4.0

App. St.

11

99

3.0

267

4.4

Boise State

12

61

2.0

260

3.8

Boston Coll.

7

42

1.4

140

2.6

Duke

9

122

2.9

253

3.8

Michigan

6

66

2.2

181

3.1

Missouri

14

113

2.9

276

4.1

Penn St.

14

119

3.0

278

4.3

Pitt

21

86

2.9

266

4.4

Utah St.

19

102

2.8

297

4.4

  

The solid defensive play of these teams has carried them to a 43-14 SU record.  Though the teams are approximately 50% ATS overall and as underdog, the best may be yet to come this week. Perennially these teams have performed at their best in the role of double digit underdog.   No fewer than 5 of our teams are in the role of underdog against the college football odds this week. They are:  Utah State, Boston College, Missouri, Pittsburgh and Penn State.  Historically speaking, however, it is the 3 of these teams in the role of double-digit underdog, where these Defensive Dandies perennially bring home the Alpo.  The companion analyses to this article will point out those teams with accompanying support.

Don’t miss these double digit Super Defenses as part of your winning college football picks this Saturday!

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