Surging Oklahoma -11 is The College Football Pick vs. Banged Up TCU in Huge Big 12 Battle

Ross Benjamin

Friday, November 20, 2015 10:47 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 20, 2015 10:47 PM UTC

Our handicapper provides us with a betting preview on Saturday’s TCU/Oklahoma game. Join us in reading this revealing piece which concludes with a college football pick.

Elimination Game between Horned Frogs and Sooners
Oklahoma (9-1) and TCU (9-1) will square off on Saturday in a mammoth game for both teams. The opening kickoff at Memorial Stadium in Norman, Oklahoma is slated for 8:00 PM ET. Current (11/20/5:50 PM ET) college football odds at The Greek show Oklahoma as an 11.0 point favorite, and a posted total of 67.0. TCU upset Oklahoma last season 37-33 as a 3.0 point home underdog.


TCU Uncertainties
There was no line released on this game until Friday afternoon. The delay in posting was due to an uncertain status of two key TCU offensive players, quarterback Trevone Boykin (ankle), and leading receiver Josh Doctson (wrist). Doctson has since been ruled of for the year, Boykin remains questionable, and in all likelihood will be a game time decision. Head coach Gary Paterson has indicated that if Trevone Boykin can’t go, he’ll opt for redshirt freshmen Foster Sawyer. It seems to be a risky move if indeed that transpires. Sawyer saw his first action of the season in last Saturday’s 23-17 win over Kansas, and was just 1-of-7 passing. On the bright side, Sawyer’s lone completion was a 42 yard touchdown pass, and he also rushed for 34 yards.  


Surging Sooners
I still remain miffed by Oklahoma being upset by Texas 24-17 as a 16.0 point favorite earlier this season. After all, that was the same Texas team which was annihilated 50-7 the week before at home by TCU. In any event, the loss certainly was a wakeup call for Oklahoma. Since that embarrassing defeat, the Sooners have gone 5-0 SU&ATS, and won those contests by an average of 38.4 points per game. During that stretch they’ve averaged 55.2 points and 618.0 totals yards of offense per game. Oklahoma quarterback Baker Mayfield’s entire body of work has been terrific this season. Mayfield has completed 70.2% of his pass attempts for 31 touchdowns and threw only 5 interceptions. He’s also run for 301 yards and 6 touchdowns as well.


Final Analysis
When you talk about TCU definitely being without Doctson, and possibly Boykin as well, there’s a plethora of offensive production this season attached to those two players. Doctson had 65 receptions for 1018 yards and 11 touchdowns before being sidelined for the year. Boykin has accounted for 41 touchdowns and 4625 yards of total offense. Consider the fact that they’ll be facing the top defense (Oklahoma) in the BIG-12, and there’s certainly a cause for concern. Even without the injuries, this was still going to be a very tough game for TCU, especially in light of the fact they’re allowing 41.8 points and 477.3 yards per game on the road this season when facing a conference opponent. My lean goes to the home favorite for one of my college football picks on Saturday.

College Football Picks: Play on Oklahoma -11 at The Greek

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