Sun Belt Showdown on Wednesday Night For Football Bettors Like Us

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, October 3, 2017 4:56 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 3, 2017 4:56 PM GMT

With October comes the cooler evenings and ESPN drawing eyeballs from football bettors with more weeknight contests to wager on. Don't be fooled by the suits, ESPN knows what's doing.

The somewhat diminishing World Wide Leader in sports will say this helps the Sun Belt Conference exposure and the MAC in November, but they realize having a football game with college football odds is going to attract enough viewers for two to three hours of viewership and they can get the commercial views and push the weekend schedule to bring back those same people.

Tonight we have lid-lifter for two Sun Belter's, with Arkansas State a touchdown road favorite with a total of 55, which will on ESPN2 at 8:00 Eastern.

 

Arkansas State Wins and Cover By....

The Red Wolves are 1-2 SU and ATS and enter SBC play among the favorites, having won or shared a piece of the title in four of the past six years. Arkansas State has big and physical offensive line (by SBC standards) and talented quarterback in Justice Hansen, who directs the No. 9 passing offense in the country at 351.7 yards a game. Hansen hurt his back against SMU but is now expected to play. Though he might not be 100 percent and the Red Wolves running game has not been imposing 121 YPG, Georgia Southern has surrendered 5.9 YPC and is 124th nationally, which should allow Arkansas State to run or pass depending on the flow of the game.

 

Georgia Southern Covers and Possibly Pulls Upset By....

After making quite an entrance in joining the Sun Belt in 2014 by going 8-0 and winning conference, Georgia Southern has gotten a little worse each year with coaching changes and lack of continuity. The Eagles are a run-first option team and have gone back primarily to flex-bone, which they ran so well three years ago. Besides the early season competition, having freshman QB Shai Werts make all the reads and quick decisions a lot to ask. To cover against their league rivals or defeat them, Werts has to trust his running backs and get them more touches to spread out ASU defense. With no turnovers forced in past two games, the Eagles defense has to fly to the ball with more urgency and generate miscues to help the offense and build confidence for 0-3 squad.

 

Outcome and What To Look For

For college football picks, on sides selections, I am 8-5 ATS this season here and I fully expect Georgia Southern to be fired up for the conference opener. However, the talent and skill are not there to hold up over four quarters and Arkansas State is 12-4 ATS against league foes and is 10-2 ATS versus rushing defenses allowing 4.75 or more rushing yards per carry.

 

Free NCAAF Pick: Arkansas State -7Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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