Steep Odds in LSU vs. Sam Houston St. Offer Value for NCAAF Picks

Steven Suarez

Friday, September 5, 2014 6:36 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 5, 2014 6:36 PM UTC

The Tigers had to work hard for the win in their season opener, but they should have a much easier time against Sam Houston State this weekend. The College Football odds are very much in LSU's favor here, and we wouldn't be surprised to still see them cover the large spread.

Odds Overview
Everyone knew the Tigers would be favored by a massive margin? But just how bad is the damage?

We'll know soon enough. The College Football odds for this one should be released soon.


Sam Houston State Bearkats
The Bearkats have already played twice this season, opening with a 56-35 loss at Eastern Washington before rebounding to crush Alabama State 51-20 at home last Saturday.

It was a dominant offensive display from Sam Houston State, who racked up 685 total yards of offense to go along with 34 first downs. They held on to the ball for almost two-thirds of the game (over 40 minutes), and still won handily despite committing 10 penalties.

Individually, there were a number of standouts for the Bearkats in the win over Alabama State.

Jared Johnson completed 31-of-46 passes for 386 yards and three touchdowns without throwing an interception. Jalen Overstreet, Donavan Williams and Keshawn Hill combined for 38 carries for 223 yards and two scores out of the backfield. In terms of receiving, Hill made an impact too, catching three passes for 126 yards and a touchdown. Jeff Thomas and Rickey Smith were the other two receivers to haul in scoring plays.

It was a good way for Sam Houston State to respond after their crushing defeat in their opener. Unfortunately, it's highly unlikely the Bearkats are going to be in for another blowout loss at LSU this Saturday.


LSU Tigers
There's nothing like a nice early test to get a feel for how good your football team is going to be. That's exactly what Les Miles got out of LSU's opener against Wisconsin last week.

On a neutral field at NRG Stadium in Houston, the Tigers overcame the Badgers 28-24, thanks to a comeback in the fourth quarter which saw them out-score Wisconsin 15-0. LSU showed great resolve to fight back.

Anthony Jennings and Kenny Hilliard were the standouts offensively for the Tigers.

Jennings was 9-of-21 for 239 yards and two touchdowns, with Travin Dural (three catches for 151 yards) and John Diarse (two receptions for 48 yards) each finding the end zone. Hilliard ran 18 times for 110 yards and a touchdown and added two catches for 22 yards in the win.

It was a mixed bag of results for LSU in terms of their defensive performance. They were able to shut down Tanner McEvoy and the Wisconsin passing game, holding them to 50 yards in all, but the Badgers weren't able to contain Melvin Gordon and the run game. Wisconsin totaled 268 yards on the ground, which is something Miles will want to address and hopefully prevent from happening once again. That starts against Sam Houston State this weekend.

Examine a couple of undervalued teams in our Underdogs Week 2 Report

College Football Pick
Regardless of how high the line is, we only feel comfortable in backing the Tigers in this spot.

LSU is the vastly superior team in all facets, and should prove that to be true in their first true home game of the season. The Tigers' defense will be motivated to do better after struggling at times against the Badgers, so the Bearkats will feel the brunt of that frustration.

With that being said, we're laying the huge number and taking LSU to cover for College Football picks.

College Football Pick: LSU Tigers

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