Steamroller College Football Picks for Georgia Tech vs. UNC

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, October 15, 2014 6:14 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 15, 2014 6:14 PM UTC

Our capper's legendary steamrollers have cashed over 60% of college football picks in the last 25 years. Join us as we take a closer look at this week's steamroller matchup between Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina. 

Steamroller Play of the Day
College Football Steamrollers have had a 25 year history of success based on my ability to select a team who will dominate their opponent at the point of attack.  Just such is the case with today's college football picks. You will note that there is historical relevance to this selection, as well as a solid basis for it in the current form of these teams.  Last Saturday, we won an LTS selection on Duke, but it wasn’t the right side.  Georgia Tech outrushed and out passed Duke by a combined margin of 483-373.  But, three critical TOs, which led to an early 31-12 deficit, were the undoing of the Tech’sters.  Later in the day, we cashed our Perception/Reality winner with North Carolina, as they profited from a pair of early TDs off TOs to come in under the inflated +17 number in their 50-43 loss. 

The defense was again an issue for North Carolina last week.  In that loss, they allowed 219 yards overland and 300 passing yards to an Irish team who had heretofore shown little offensive explosiveness.  Now, North Carolina is asked to face a team who has dominated them in recent seasons.  It will be little comfort that North Carolina enters on a 4-game losing streak, is 1-5 ATS this season, and fields a 43 PPG defense that allows 508 YPG, including 192/4.3 overland.  

Last year, Georgia Tech steamrolled North Carolina 28-20 when they outrushed the Tarheels 324-101.  That is meaningful because it extended a long series history which finds Georgia Tech to be 14-2 SU in this series, including 5-0 ATS of late.  With Tech’s triple option again in fine form, averaging 295/5.7 overland, the numbers are in place for this series history to extend.  Some may counter this selection, believing that with 4 losses, this is a desperation game for the Tarheels. That line of thinking will continue with the knowledge that Georgia Tech suffered their first defeat after a 5-0 SU start, bursting their undefeated bubble.  My opinion is that should North Carolina fall behind in this game, they may indeed become an early towel tosser, while Tech still retains many of their season goals.  In addition, the post-Notre Dame letdown syndrome must not be discounted. 

In conclusion, the combination of history, the current form of these two teams, and the fundamental dominance at the point of attack strongly suggests that Georgia Tech will outrush North Carolina by a greater than 2 to 1 margin, providing us with a long-term 75% indicator of ATS success on college football odds.  The fact this game is in a win situation of less than a field goal adds confidence to the selection.

College Football Pick: Bet Georgia Tech -2.5 (-109) at Pinnacle

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