Stanford -6.5 vs. Utah Pac-12 for College Football Picks

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, November 12, 2014 7:54 PM GMT

Stanford has never lost consecutive games under David Shaw, which makes it a top college football pick to gain revenge against Utah Saturday.

Leaking Oil
Utah is 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS through nine games of the season, which can’t be ignored when looking over the College Football Betting Odds, but it has lost the statistical battle in its last seven contests. The Utes are a banged up football team heading into Week 12, as they’ve got numerous players dealing with minor injuries, while already losing top receivers Dres Anderson and Tim Patrick for the year.

It’s important to point out that the squad is 5-12 SU and 10-7 ATS as underdogs since the start of the 2012 campaign, with the UNDER going 12-4-1 in that situation.

 

A Big Stretch
Stanford knew it would be a rebuilding year under fourth-year head coach David Shaw, which is important to consider when making your College Football Picks, as it has fallen into a pattern of alternating wins and losses over its last six affairs.

The Cardinals are capable of bouncing back from a 45-16 defeat to the Oregon Ducks as seven-point road underdogs on Nov. 1, as they’ve gone 10-0 SU following a loss since Shaw took over for Jim Harbaugh.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the team is 3-0 SU and 0-3 ATS as home favorites of 7.5 to 10 points, with the OVER cashing in all three of those opportunities.

 

Coming Out Fast
The Utes have outscored their opponents by 59 and 41 points in the first and third quarters respectively this season, but I don’t see that trend continuing against a revenge-minded team on the opposite sideline.

Utah earned a 27-21 victory over Stanford as 7.5-point home underdogs in last year’s meeting, but it has gone 1-4 ATS when getting eight or fewer points against conference opponents in its last five tries.

 

Home-Field Advantage
The Cardinals have put together a dominating 30-2 SU record at Stanford Stadium since 2010, which includes victories in 11 of their last 13 games versus top-25 opponents.

Stanford has one of the top defenses in the country—limiting opponents to 16.1 points and 281.1 yards per games.  The group has held teams to 20 or fewer points in 28 of its past 37 contests.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Cardinal as their Pac-12 College Football Pick of the week, as they’ve gone 6-0 ATS in their last seven games following a loss.

College Football Pick:  Stanford Cardinals -6.5 at Pinnacle