Sportsbooks Undervalue Hungry Wolfpack: Bet NC State -17 Over S. Alabama

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, September 24, 2015 3:02 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 24, 2015 3:02 PM UTC

Each week in this space, I will isolate the CFB CRUSHER OF THE WEEK.  It will be a blend of statistical, situational and technical analysis that will result in an outstanding opportunity for you to cash a winning ticket.  Look for this favorite to dominate the point of attack, control matters overland and rush their way to a dominating victory in this week’s contest.  Here is this week’s winner.


NC State (-17) at S. Alabama 8:00 ET ESN

NC State visits S. Alabama for this 8 pm ET kick Saturday night as televised by ESPN.  Last week, S. Alabama played an emotionally draining game at San Diego St.  It was arguably the biggest win in the program’s history.  The Jags kicked a lengthy field goal on the last play of the game to force OT, and then held on for a 34-27 victory as 16 point underdog.  We cannot doubt the quality of the win, as they were 200 CLUB members on offense with a combined 511-305 yardage edge!  

Sportsbooks had NC State pegged as a 16 point road favorite, and they went on to steamroll Old Dominion (38-14) with a 256 to (-3) yardage edge.  The defense held the Monarchs to a 148 total yards. 

S. Alabama is a hybrid team that is an amalgam of the recently disbanded UAB team and the existing Jaguar program.  That includes starting QB Clements, a UAB transfer.  With just 5 RS, HC Jones has done a solid job putting the team together.  Yet, it was just 2 weeks ago when stepping up in class against another Power 5 team, that they lost 48-9 at Nebraska. 

NC State continues their assent under HC Doeren.  They have bolted from the gate with a 3-0 SU ATS start in beating Troy, E. Kentucky and ODU, teams of the same ilk as this Jaguar.  With 15 RS, they are clearly a qualified returning starter play.  

I love playing against home dogs, which have just pulled an upset as a road dog of 7 or more points.  It provides a natural letdown situation for the home dog and puts the road favorite on alert.  Now, that QB Brissett has been joined by RB Thornton (suspended the first 2 games), the Wolfpack has continued their late-season run from last year.  They are now 8-1 ATS on the trot.  Lone detractor, as is the case with many Power 5 teams this week, is the look ahead to their conference opener against Louisville next week.  Nonetheless, the situation and fundamentals are in place for the Wolfpack run to continue against an outmanned rebuilding opponent.  For these reasons, join me in my PICK of NC State as the "CRUSHER" College football pick of the week, as we could see this being a 4 TD blowout. The College Football odds boards have gift wrapped this one for us fellas!

Free College Football Picks: NC State -17 at BetOnline

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