Tonight's South Florida vs. FAU Prediction, Picks & Odds
Tonight's American conference matchup features the South Florida Bulls and the Florida Athletic from FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida (7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2).
The 3-4 Bulls, who ended their three-game losing streak with a victory over UAB in Week 8, enter the game as marginal 2.5-point favorites. The line hasn't changed in the few days leading up to Friday's battle.
Meanwhile, the 2-5 Owls have lost two straight, conceding 79 points in those defeats. It's both team's first game in two weeks after getting some needed rest during their bye week. Our South Florida vs. FAU prediction expects the Bulls to win and cover the spread.
The below picks are part of our college football Week 10 predictions.
Best South Florida vs. FAU picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: South Florida -2.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best bet: South Florida ML (-130 via Draftkings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
South Florida vs. FAU against the spread prediction: Week 10
South Florida to cover the spread: -2.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
South Florida vs. FAU opening odds:
- South Florida: -2.5 (-112 via DraftKings)
- FAU: +2.5 (-108 via DraftKings)
Friday’s game opened with South Florida as the 2.5-point favorites before moving down to -2, up to -3, then settling back at -2.5 where it currently sits.
Caesars is posting the best odds on South Florida -2.5 at -110.
Bulls run wild
South Florida’s rushing attack should run wild against Florida Atlantic’s defense.
The Bulls are averaging 4.1 yards per carry and have logged 15 rushing touchdowns in 2024, compared to a 56.2 percent completion rate with six passing touchdowns and four interceptions. The Owls’ run defense has surrendered seven rushing touchdowns during conference play, with two of three opponents averaging 5.7 YPC or higher.
South Florida ended its three-game losing slump with 41 carries for 148 yards and three rushing touchdowns. The team will deploy a similar approach to keep the clock ticking and score points while earning a three-plus point win over the Owls.
FAU's offensive woes
Florida Atlantic has committed two-plus turnovers in three straight games, costing the team its chance to end a losing slump. The Owls use a run-centric offense, throwing for 103 yards or fewer against UConn and UTSA.
South Florida’s defense doesn’t force a ton of turnovers, but it does specialize in stopping the run. The Bulls allow 3.8 YPC, and they held Memphis and UAB without a rushing touchdown.
When FAU turns to the air, the Bulls could take advantage while snatching their seventh interception this season. The Owls have thrown at least one interception in six of seven games played.
Best odds: South Florida -2.5 (-110 via Caesars) | Implied probability: 52.38%
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South Florida vs. FAU best bet
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South Florida ML (-130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
My best bet ahead of this American conference matchup is taking South Florida’s moneyline odds at -130 on DraftKings as part of your college football Week 10 predictions.
The Bulls will be successful in establishing the run and chewing clock, forcing the Owls to play catchup with an inefficient passing attack.
Back the Bulls’ run game
South Florida is set to feast against Florida Atlantic’s run defense on Friday night. The Owls have struggled all season to contain opposing rushing attacks, excluding FIU and Wagner, an FCS team. Expect the Bulls to lean heavily on their run game to build an insurmountable lead.
Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic needs to exploit South Florida’s secondary. That unit is out of its comfort zone, as the Bulls have surrendered two-plus receiving touchdowns in six straight games. However, their run defense is stout. The Owls did manage 351 passing yards and three touchdowns during a four-point loss to North Texas back in Week 7, by far their best production through the air in 2024.
Due to South Florida’s ability to force interceptions and stingy run defense, plus their offense drawing a plus-matchup against a bad Florida Atlantic run defense, it's safe to back the Bulls with confidence.
Best odds: South Florida ML (-130 via DraftKings ) | Implied probability: 56.52%
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South Florida vs. FAU odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
South Florida vs. FAU game info
- When: Friday, Nov. 1
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: FAU Stadium, Boca Raton, Florida
- How to watch: ESPN2
- Weather: 77 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 19-mph winds
- Favorite: South Florida -2.5 (-110 via Caesars)
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