South Carolina Plus Odds the Value College Football Pick Over Texas A&M

Willie Bee

Thursday, October 29, 2015 1:46 PM GMT

Thursday, Oct. 29, 2015 1:46 PM GMT

Where has Texas A&M's offense gone and how is South Carolina doing sans Steve Spurrier?  We explore those questions and more with a free college football pick for their clash.

You know things are going badly for your football team when pictures of your offense start appearing on milk cartons. Okay, so that might not be exactly true, but it's probably how Kevin Sumlin along with most of his Texas A&M staff and players feel right now after accounting for just one touchdown in the last 10 quarters.

Sumlin and the Aggies will try to get things back in gear this Saturday in one of their final two SEC home games on the 2015 fixture. The South Carolina Gamecocks, who are wallowing in their own problems, will be at Kyle Field for a noon (ET) kickoff under what could be some stormy conditions for a second consecutive weekend in the Lone Star State. We'll touch again on that a bit later.

The SEC Network is carrying the broadcast, the betting getting underway with the Aggies favored by 16. There still some -16's available with other shops kicking it up a half-tick. We've already seen some significant movement on the total which first went out at 52½, those college football odds now listed at 56½ at BetOnline.

It's just the second meeting between the two schools, the first coming a little more than a year ago when they met in Columbia to open the 2014 campaign. Underdogs of 9 points on the road, the Aggies raced to a 31-14 lead at the half and never looked back for the 52-28 upset. The Gamecocks could do nothing to stop an A&M offense that was then directed by Kenny Hill who threw for a school record 511 yards.

 

USC Reaches A&M Running Thin At QB
The post-Head Ball Coach era at least got off to a winning start for South Carolina (3-4 straight up & against the spread), though it really wasn't much to write home about. The Gamecocks took down Vanderbilt as short 1½ point home chalk last week, the final never sniffing the closing total of 46 on the college football odds.

Interim head coach Shawn Elliot's team did show some resilience by coming back from a 10-6 hole midway through the third quarter. One long pass play basically did the trick from that point on, but the fact remains USC failed to capitalize on five Vandy giveaways, only managing three field goals after being gifted with short fields on several of those turnovers.

The 'Cocks are still supposed to be without starting quarterback Connor Mitch who injured his right shoulder and a hip in the Week 2 loss against Kentucky. Lorenzo Nuñez, who started in the Central Florida and Missouri games, is also questionable with a bum shoulder. That leads the pivot to junior Perry Orth who was Mitch's first replacement before the frosh Nuñez was given a chance.

 

Offense Not The Only Culprit In Aggieland
Texas A&M (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) is coming off consecutive losses to Alabama and at Ole Miss, most of the blame for each on QB Kyle Allen. The sophomore was cruising along in his first five games, kinda' like Hill did early last season, but was a huge liability in the 41-23 setbacks to the Crimson Tide and Rebels, combining to complete just 43% of his heaves (32-74) and throw four interceptions.

While the lack of offense has been getting its deserved share of the blame, another problem surfaced in the two defeats, that being the defense's inability to stop the run. Mississippi ripped off 230 yards on the ground a week ago after Alabama ran for 258. South Carolina isn't exactly blessed with a strong attack on the ground, but A&M is now back to being awful in defending that with a ranking of 102nd (200.1 ypg).

I told you we'd be discussing the weather more in detail a bit earlier, and here we are at that point with the forecast calling for thunderstorms Saturday morning before clearing in the afternoon. With the current QB situation at A&M, I'm taking the points on the Gamecocks for my free college football pick.

College Football Pick: South Carolina +16.5 at Bovada

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