Sooners Will Soar on Saturday Over Wretched Kansas

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, November 16, 2017 2:35 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 16, 2017 2:35 PM UTC

No. 4 Oklahoma is the top dog in the Big 12 and they will be traveling to Kansas to meet its cellar dwelling rival. Let’s review the college football odds and analyze which side is poised to cover the number Saturday.

Free NCAAF Pick: Oklahoma -36½Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3187788, "sportsbooksIds":[19,169,238,1680,83], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

Oklahoma (9-1 SU, 6-4 ATS) vs. Kansas (1-9 SU, 4-6 ATS)
  • Kansas is 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Kansas is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Kansas is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
  • Oklahoma is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.
  • Oklahoma is 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win.
  • Oklahoma is 4-0 ATS in their last four games in November.

This is a mismatch of epic proportions, but the question is whether the Jayhawks can cover the number being dealt by the college football odds makers. It should be noted that Kansas is 7-3 ATS as an underdog of 10½ or greater over their last 10 games in that spot. However, this is an Oklahoma team that has flat out breezed against the Jayhawks over the past two seasons, outscoring their Big 12 rivals by a combined 118-10 and covering spreads of -39 in both home and away contests.

This season is no different than the rest, and the case could be made that No. 4 Oklahoma will need to not only win but win convincingly in order to stay at least on the bubble of the four-team College Football Playoff conversation. No backdoor covers allowed as the Sooners will shred the Jayhawks secondary with the top passing attack in the nation, averaging 388.1 yards per game, and an overall offense that is ranked fourth in the land averaging 44.3 points per game. I have no idea how Kansas will even remotely keep pace with the blistering Oklahoma offense as the Jayhawks average 25.8 PPG (86th) but, more important, are veritable sieves on defense, surrendering 42.2 PPG and ranked 128th of 130 teams in that category.

Want more? Kansas’ passing defense is ranked 117th in the nation, allowing 275.5 yards per game, and will now suit up against the most prolific passing blitzkrieg in all of college football. And even worse, the Jayhawks won’t be able to key exclusively on the pass because the Sooners boast the 26th ranked rushing attack, averaging almost 212 yards per game. I see no safe harbor for the Jayhawks in this game and Oklahoma won’t be easing its foot off the pedal even when this game gets out of hand due to its national championship aspirations along with the incentive of clinching a berth in the Big 12 championship game. Don’t overthink this one: Include the Sooners in your college football picks this Saturday.

comment here