Sooners Poised to Roll Over Mountaineers in Big 12 Clash

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, November 23, 2017 2:53 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 23, 2017 2:53 PM UTC

Big 12 regular-season champion Oklahoma is clinging to a spot in the College Football Playoff but will need another dominating performance Saturday against West Virginia in the regular-season finale to bolster its cause.

Free NCAAF Pick: Oklahoma -22.5Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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West Virginia (7-4 SU, 5-6 ATS) at No. 4 Oklahoma (10-1 SU, 6-5 ATS)
  • Oklahoma is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.
  • Oklahoma is 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
  • Oklahoma is 10-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • West Virginia is 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog.
  • West Virginia is 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • West Virginia is 0-3 ATS in its last three games against Oklahoma.

I'm not sure what kind of a number you could harness the Sooners with that would prohibit a bet on them against the Mountaineers, sans their QB Will Grier. But let's start with 27, shall we? That is the average margin of victory attained by the Sooners when they play at home this season. The team is loaded, starting with QB Baker Mayfield, the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy and leading his team to the second-ranked passing attack in the nation, averaging 381.8 yards per game, and the fourth-ranked scoring offense, producing 44 points per game. Mayfield won't start on Senior Day because of disciplinary action but shouldn't be on the bench long. 

Perhaps the most impressive aspect of this team is that, despite Mayfield's eye-popping numbers, the Sooners also boast an impressive rushing attack led by sophomore Rodney Anderson and his six-yards per-carry average. Oklahoma averages nearly 207 rushing yards per contest, which places it 31st in the country. This multidimensional offense lends itself to shredding defenses on the ground and through the air.

The bottom line in this game is that the college football odds makers are trying to dissuade the public from swarming them with Sooners money, which is why this line has jumped from an open of -21 to as high as -23 as of this Thursday writing. The only possible way the Mountaineers could have kept pace with Oklahoma was with their own impressive passing attack, but that aerial threat was nullified when the man commanding the West Virginia offense, Grier, went down with a broken finger last week in the team's 28-14 home loss to Texas.

So, what now? Unless you believe lightly tested WV sophomore backup Chris Chugunov will save the day, the best thing you can do is back the Sooners in your college football picks and watch them ratchet up the score in order to convince the CFP committee that they deserve one of the four seats at that talented table. Sooners roll -- big.

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