Smart College Football Pick as Massive 45.5-Point Favorite Oregon Hosts Georgia State

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, September 16, 2015 7:20 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 16, 2015 7:20 PM UTC

With an injured 5th year senior transfer quarterback, are the Ducks capable of covering the CFB odds and will they keep their starters out on the field long enough to do so is the question for week 3? 

Kickoff is set for 2:00 p.m. ET Saturday at Autzen Stadium in Eugene Oregon. As stated earlier, according to 5 Dimes Sportsbook, the Ducks are a 45.5 point betting favorite and the total for the game is 72 points. There's no question who will win this ball game. It's just a matter of will the Ducks be impressive or dwell on the loss to the Spartans?


A Confident Panther Team?
Confidence, aside from talent, is a huge thing in college sports and the Gerorgia State Panthers have something to cheer about as they're coming off of a 34-32 road victory against New Mexico State.

The Panthers offense was in full force as they attained a school record 582 yards in total. Freshman, wide receiver, Penny Hart had 11 receptions for 150 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Hart has one of the best quarterbacks statistic-wise behind center in Nick Arbuckle. Arbuckle has thrown for 671 yards in his first two games of the season, which is good for 9th in the nation. Granted, the level of opponent is not even close to the Oregon Ducks as the College Football Odds indicate, but this is a team that has offensive skill and that has to be taken into account with such a large spread.

WIth all of the postiives that the Panthers have endured, they've also had to deal with key injuries offensively and that will come into play.

Must Read: More Numbers that Stand Out in Week 3 Betting Markets

Calling Jeff Lockie!
We might see some of junior quarterback, Jeff Lockie, in this game as this is an an obvious mismatch and Oregon starting quarterback, Vernon Adams Jr. broke his index finger on his right hand.

It's Oregon's protocol not to discuss an injury, but as expected, Adams played through injury and blew the issue off as if he were ready to go into game 2. Let's remember that this injury occurred in the first game of the season and Adams Jr. still managed to throw for nearly 200 yards with 2 TD and 1 INT in the 31-28 loss to Michigan State. Michigan State is a tough opponent defensively and my take from the injury is that it's hampering Adams Jr., but not enough for him not to play.

Expect to see junior quarterback, Jeff Lockie, if this game shows any signs of getting out of hand. Lockie saw limited action behind Marcus Mariota last season and proved that he was more than capable in the backup role as he went 21 for 28 for 207 yards and 1 touchdown.


A Ton of Royce Freeman
After all of the injury chatter, I don't expect it to be a factor as running back, Royce Freeman, has proven to be a dominant football player and headed for the next level. Coming off of a 1365 yard season with 18 TD's rushing in his freshman season, Freeman looks to improve upon that and has started off the season fairly well with 272 yards rushing and 4 TD. Although he had a rather tough time against the Spartans, the level of opponent is greatly inferior in this game and look for Freeman to take some pressure off of the quarterbacking issues.

College Football Pick: Oregon -45.5 at 5Dimes.

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