Six Early Leans Worth Betting With Week 12 College Football Picks

Doug Upstone

Monday, November 16, 2015 2:42 PM GMT

Monday, Nov. 16, 2015 2:42 PM GMT

Within hours after the sportsbooks releases late Sunday afternoon, it was unusual to see so many games have what would be considered fairly significant adjustments to the college football odds released.

If this was September or October, as a football handicapper, I would not give this a second thought, but this late in the season, somebody either knows something or strong influence money has caused the books to make quick college football odds alterations.

One thing to remember, just because this happened this early, it could be a non-story by Monday afternoon or even a bit later in the week with the ebb and flow. And with today's syndicates moving numbers in search of potential value to get the number they really want, the real answer will be played out in time.

Here is an early week look at what attracted our eyes on bets for college football picks with odds coming from Heritage

 

East Carolina -17 point Road Favorite versus Central Florida
Right off the top, cannot think of a less compelling ESPN game on Thursday night in some time. The AAC has been a very good story all season, with four teams having a chance to win at least nine games and one of those undefeated, with a shot at Super Six bowl. None of those teams are playing in this matchup. East Carolina is 4-6 and their big story is fighting for bowl eligibility, having lost three in a row. Central Florida is 0-10, their head coach resigned and this program was good enough to win the Fiesta Bowl over Baylor in January 2014! How little do football bettors think of the Pirates, they moved them to -15 against the Knights, ouch!

 

Air Force +16 point Road Underdog versus Boise State
Launch a flare if you saw Air Force in position to capture the Mountain Division of the MWC with a victory over Boise State at their place. Those making sports picks think the Falcons are worst have a shot for sports picks, lowering Air Force down to +13.5 at Albertson's Stadium (new discount pricing?). Have to agree this is worth a look since this Boise State squad has lost to Utah State by 26 in a game that was not that close and the Broncos were just at upset at home by New freakin' Mexico 31-24 as Kim Kardashian backside -30.5 point favorites.

 

Utah -1 point Home Favorite versus UCLA
The chances of the Pac-12 having a seat at the Final Four table are remote after both Utah and Stanford both lost Saturday. The Utes can still win the Pac-12 South, but need to win out and have somebody knock off USC, whom they lost to earlier. With UCLA also off a home upset setback to Washington State, it was shocking really to see them as one-point road underdogs in Salt Lake City, but that was quickly switched to Utah -3 in a relatively short time. The home team has covered three straight in this series.

 

Oregon -1.5 point Home Favorite versus USC
The Ducks defense might waddle like a duck, but their offense is like a super nova, especially the ground attack. Forget the losses to Utah and Washington State, in Oregon's last three wins and covers, they are averaging 7.03 yards a carry! Though USC is now in control of own destiny to win the Pac-12 South, in a season that a Hollywood producer would never touch if he read the season script of the Trojans, those betting football want to know how the Men of Troy's defense will even slow down the Ducks and sent them flying to -4.5.

 

Louisiana Tech -21.5 point Road Favorite versus UTEP
Louisiana Tech has a date with Southern Miss next week to determine who will be the C-USA West champions. Before this they have to travel to El Paso to play UTEP. With their cash, bettors have determined the Bulldogs will bury the Miners, taking from -21.5 to -23. With Louisiana Tech scoring 40 points a contest and UTEP conceding 36.1, a strong case can be made for the visitor. But as we saw all day last Saturday, if you are not at your best as a favorite and possibly looking ahead, bad things can happen.

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