Sharps Following Tulsa, Makes For Interesting Opportunity On CMU - Miami Beach Bowl

Jason Lake

Sunday, December 18, 2016 9:06 PM UTC

Sunday, Dec. 18, 2016 9:06 PM UTC

Thanks to the Tulsa Golden Hurricane sweeping up all those NCAAF picks, there’s a middle opportunity with the Central Michigan Chippewas at Monday’s Miami Beach Bowl.

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Record: 11-13-2 ATS, 1-1 Totals

All I want for Christmas is some free money. Oh, look, there it is. Remember how last week, we recommended the Tulsa Golden Hurricane as 11-point favorites over the Central Michigan Chippewas in the December 19 Miami Beach Bowl (2:30 p.m. ET, ESPN)? Well, the Hurricane have moved up to –13 on our NCAAF odds board as we go to press. That’s enough steam to give us a middle opportunity by taking the Chippewas. Thank you, Santa.

In case you’re new to this whole sports betting business, don’t worry, we’ll explain what the heck a “middle” is and how you can exploit this market shift with your college football picks. It’s been a while since we last talked about this concept here at the ranch, so strap in and we’ll show you the money.

Down Through the Chimney With Old St. Vig

Here’s the deal: We’ve already got Tulsa at –11, and now we can get CMU at +13. If we have both those wagers at the same time, and the Hurricane win by 12, we’ll get paid out twice. If the Hurricane win by 11 or 13, it’s a win and a push – still profitable. Any other result, and the two bets will cancel each other out, leaving us paying just the vigorish.

Okay, so chances are the final score won’t fall within our desired range and we’ll have to pay that juice. But it’s a low-risk, high-reward situation, and it requires zero handicapping of the game itself. And if you didn’t already go out and buy Tulsa at –11, at least you can still get CMU at +13 and feel pretty good about it. Two points is a lovely gift for the holidays. We’ll meet you at the Festivus pole, and may the prolate spheroid be with you.

Free NCAAF Pick: Central Michigan +13 (–105)Best Line Offered: at Bovada

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