Shade Colorado With College Football Picks -7.5 vs. Hawaii

David Lawrence

Wednesday, September 2, 2015 3:47 PM GMT

The Colorado College Football team is favored by the betting odds by -310 on the money line, and 7.5 points on the spread, as they face Hawaii on Friday. Find out how we recommend betting.

The Colorado Buffaloes and the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors were roughed up last season, and although Colorado finished with a worse record, the Buffaloes are in a tougher conference and have built a new football facility for their operations. Colorado is seen by national writers as a program that is beginning to slowly build the right way. Can Hawaii, with head coach Norm Chow, head off the Buffaloes in what figures to be a close matchup?

 

Momentum
The Buffaloes finished 2-10 last season, so it’s not as though they can say they have a lot of momentum. Yet, the Buffs played good teams close in the Pac-12 Conference. They took UCLA to overtime before losing to the Bruins, and the Bruins were very solid last season. Colorado pushed Utah for four quarters, but couldn’t make the extra handful of plays it needed in the fourth quarter. This is a team that was almost there for a lot of the season, and now, the Buffaloes think they can be close to a .500 team. A 6-6 season would definitely represent a lot of progress, especially in a conference which is as deep as the Pac-12 is projected to be.

Hawaii finished 4-9 last year. The Rainbow Warriors had a better record than Colorado, but their wins came against teams that struggled, plus Northern Iowa of the lower-division FCS. Hawaii scored under 23 points in the vast majority of its losses, and scored under 21 points in most of that group of losses. The offense just couldn’t develop much of any consistency, and that’s why the team couldn’t make more of a dent in a Mountain West Conference which was fairly average overall. Neither team did what it wanted to do last season, but there’s reason to think this year could be a lot better.

 

Line Moves
There has been a little bit of line movement here as Colorado opened at -8 but is now mostly sitting at 7.5. Belief in Mike MacIntyre, the Buffaloes’ coach, and in the perceived newfound stability of the Colorado program, are very likely keep this line where it is. There’s of course people on the other side who see the 2-10 record from last year and along with the struggles in Pac-12 play. People are also skeptical of Hawaii, a program which has struggled the past few years, so that’s really why we haven’t seen this line go anywhere.

 

Notable Injuries
The Buffaloes have defensive linemen Tyler Hennington and Josh Tupou out for this game. Hawaii has no listed injuries right now.

 

Handicapping The Game
This is a tricky game for College Football handicappers to tackle. One detail to note is that Hawaii now has former USC quarterback Max Wittek on its roster. Wittek played against Colorado at USC. He will not find the Buffaloes to be a completely unfamiliar opponent. However, what talent is surrounding Wittek? Colorado has probably earned the benefit of the doubt here, based on reports of a promising and encouraging offseason. The best College Football pick here is to take Colorado minus the number.

College Football Pick: Colorado -7.5 at Pinnacle