SEC Week 6 Overview: QB Woes Plague Both in Auburn-Mississippi State Showdown

Tuesday, October 2, 2018 2:03 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2018 2:03 PM UTC

Auburn and Mississippi State each hit offensive road blocks last week, and will likely struggle to find any rhythm and points in this hard-nosed SEC West matchup. Click here for a free pick, as well as the opening odds and a few betting tidbits for all the SEC Week 6 action Saturday. 

<h2 style="text-align:center;"><strong><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Auburn - Mississippi State Odds">SEC Spotlight: No. 8 Auburn (-3) at Mississippi State</a></strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center;"><strong>Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET, on ESPN2</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center;"><strong>Free NCAAF Pick: ‘Under’ 45</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center;"><strong>Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Check This Top Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a></strong></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3447705, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,238,19,43,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>Going into last Saturday’s narrow 24-13 win over Southern Miss, Auburn’s (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) powerful offensive line had allowed only seven sacks of QB Jarrett Stidham in four games. The Golden Eagles nearly halved that with three takedowns and four hurries by flooding the secondary and never rushing more than five defenders. Mississippi State (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) would be wise to emulate a similar game plan against an indecisive and largely immobile Stidham.</p><p>The Bulldogs are plagued with quarterback issues of their own. The offense hashit a roadblock since starting SEC play, averaging 6.5 points and 201.5 total yards in losses against Kentucky (28-7) and Florida (13-6). Mississippi State kicked off a 9.5- and 7.5-point favorite for what it’s worth. Some are even calling for Nick Fitzgerald, who tossed for 243 yards, 0 TDs, and a pick on 27-of-58 passing in the defeats, to give backup sophomore Keytaon Thompson a chance. Fitzgerald is flat out erratic and throwing behind receivers regularly.</p><p>The recent QB woes for both teams should have every bettor leaning ‘under’ 45 points. The bet has cashed in four of five contests with coach Gus Malzhan guiding the Tigers. Mississippi State, in fact, has failed to reach their project total in four tilts by a 5.3 average margin. It’s a race to 20 points for the winner.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"pt\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;JUST IN: Our game vs Auburn on Oct. 6 will kick off at 6:30 p.m. CT and will be televised on ESPN2.&lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#HailState&lt;/a&gt;🐶 &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— MSU Football 🏈 (@HailStateFB) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;30 de setembro de 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><h2>Around The SEC (All Games Saturday)</h2><p> </p><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Alabama - Arkansas Odds"><strong>No.1 Alabama (-34.5) at Arkansas, noon ET, on ESPN:</strong></a> Since 1996, Arkansas (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS) has gone off as a 2-point underdog or more seven times. It is 1-6 ATS, failing to cover a 31.0 average line by 11.0 points per game. Three of the last four have come against Nick Saban’s top-ranked Alabama (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS). The Razorbacks post just 7.6 points per game in the aforementioned situation.</p><p> </p><p><strong><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Missouri - South Carolina Odds">Missouri at South Carolina (-2), noon ET, on SEC Network:</a> </strong>Missouri (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) is 5-9 SU and ATS kicking off in games with a line in-between a touchdown with NFL-bound Drew Lock under center. The Tigers average just 19.3 points in this situation. South Carolina (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS), meanwhile, yields 19.6 points per game against unranked SEC foes under head coach Will Muschamp’s guidance. ‘Under’ alert.</p><p> </p><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check LSU - Florida Odds"><strong>No. 5 LSU (-2.5) at No. 22 Florida, 3:30 p.m. ET, on CBS:</strong></a> The higher home seeds in the last 20 SEC ranked matcuhps are 11-9 SU and 14-6 ATS, topping a 2.7 average line by 7.0 points per game. No. 22 Florida (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS) is catching 2.5 points hosting No. 5 LSU (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) at The Swamp Saturday afternoon.</p><p> </p><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Louisiana-Monroe - Ole Miss Odds"><strong>Louisiana-Monroe at Ole Miss (-22.5), 4 p.m. ET, on SEC Network:</strong></a> Since 2006, the ‘over’ is 28-11-2 (71.8 percent) when Sun Belt programs kick off with a handicap less than 24 points against SEC opponents. The 74.5 opening total is the highest ever. Thirteen of fifteen have cashed with a number greater than 58 points.</p><p> </p><p><a href=";m-aggies-3447756/odds/" target="_blank" title="Check Kentucky - Texas A&amp;M Odds"><strong>No. 13 Kentucky at Texas A&amp;M (-5.5), 7 p.m. ET, on ESPN:</strong></a> Texas A&amp;M (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS) is 10-15 SU and 9-16 ATS in its last 25 clashes against ranked opponents. Kentucky (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS), meanwhile, is 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS since 1994 on the road in SEC play in the rare moments it is ranked.</p><p> </p><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Vanderbilt - Georgia Odds"><strong>Vanderbilt at No. 2 Georgia (-26.5), 7:30 p.m. ET, on SEC Network:</strong></a> Since 1980, Vanderbilt (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) is 10-5 ATS catching more than 17.5 points in its SEC East rivalry against Georgia (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS)</p>
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