SEC Week 3 Overview: Defense to Dominate LSU-Auburn Clash

Tuesday, September 11, 2018 4:32 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 11, 2018 4:32 PM UTC

No. 12 LSU and No. 7 Aubun clash at Jordan-Hare Stadium Satruday in which will surely be a hard-hitting, defensive slugfest. Other SEC action sees Alabama kicking off with its highest game total ever against a porous Ole Miss squad, and Missouri in a points-getting spot as road chalk at Purdue. 

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check LSU - Auburn Odds">SEC Spotlight: No. 12 LSU at No. 7 Auburn (-9.5)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET, on CBS</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NCAAF Pick: ‘Under’ 45</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=Pinnacle" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Check This Top Rated Sportsbook">Pinnacle</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3447698, "sportsbooksIds":[238,93,19,43,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>Expect a physical SEC West bruiser game as rivals No. 12 LSU (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) and No. 7 Auburn (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) clash at Jordan-Hare Stadium Saturday in the conference opener for each. The Fighting Tigers have a slight edge in the modern-day series, going 16-14 SU and ATS in the last 30 meetings. The home team has proven dominant recently with 16 of the last 18 victors defending their home turf. Close, wild games are typical. Seventeen have finished within a touchdown.</p><p>The Auburn offense tends to struggle in the series. Since 2000, it has put up more than 24 points once, averaging just 18.2 points per game. In five games the Tigers kick off betting favorites, the number inches up to 21.0 per tilt. Past results indicate Auburn QB Jared Stidham will have to have a special game to find the end zone multiple times against an always-stout LSU defense.</p><p>The Fighting Tigers unit is elite. Its allowing 254.0 total yards per game through two against ranked Miami (FL) (33-17) and FCS Southeastern Louisiana (31-0). The Auburn unit may be just as good. Led by former LSU coordinator Kevin Steele, it is armed with DT Derrick Brown, S Daniel Thomas, and DE Marlon Davidson, each preseason All-SEC selections. The Tigers yield 312.5 total yards and 12.5 points per game with wins against ranked Washington (21-16) and FCS Alabama State (63-9).</p><p>The LSU offense is loaded with youth and inexperience. Expect it to perform badly in its first road SEC test. Reaching two touchdowns will be a small victory. Auburn wins 24-14. Pick the ‘under’</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"pt\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Swarm &amp;amp; Attack!&lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#WarEagle&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Auburn Football (@AuburnFootball) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;10 de setembro de 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><h2>Around the SEC (All Games Saturday)</h2><p> </p><p><strong>Murray State at Kentucky (OFF), noon ET, on SEC Network</strong><br />Look for Kentucky (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) to keep rolling after its first win over Florida since 1986. It is 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS as a favorite following an underdog win the previous week. As a double-digit favorite, the Wildcats average 40.0 points per game in this spot.</p><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check UTEP - Tennessee Odds"><strong>UTEP at Tennessee (-30), noon ET, on SEC Network</strong></a><br />Since 2000, Tennessee (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) averages 48.6 points per game when favored by more than four touchdowns. This includes a 59-3 shellacking of FCS East Tennessee State last weekend.</p><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Vanderbilt - Notre Dame Odds"><strong>Vanderbilt at No. 8 Notre Dame (-14.5), 2:30 p.m. ET, on NBC</strong></a><br />In right road tests against ranked opponents, Vanderbilt (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) is 0-8 SU behind coach Derek Mason, losing by 19.5 points per game. It is 5-1 ATS catching 20 points or more and 0-2 getting fewer. Line appears a tad light here.</p><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check North Texas - Arkansas Odds"><strong>North Texas at Arkansas (-7), 4 p.m. ET, on SEC Network</strong></a><br />Three other times Arkansas (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) has kicked off against Sun Belt opponents with a single-digit line. Each game finished within a touchdown. Careful Hogs backers.</p><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Colarado State - Florida Odds"><strong>Colorado State at Florida (-20), 4 p.m. ET, on SEC Network</strong></a><br />Since 2010, the ‘over’ is 8-1 when an unranked Florida (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) squad lays 17 points or more in a game. A 55.8 average final score tops a 52.9 total by 9.7 points per game.</p><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Alabama - Ole Miss Odds"><strong>No. 1 Alabama (-20.5) at Ole Miss, 7 p.m. ET, on ESPN</strong></a><br />The 71 game total is the highest ever for an Alabama (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) game. The ‘under’ is 16-8 under head coach Nick Saban when the Crimson Tide kick off with a total of 55.5 or more.</p><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Middle Tennessee - Georgia Odds"><strong>Middle Tennessee at No. 3 Georgia (-31.5), 7:15 p.m. ET, on ESPN2</strong></a><br />Georgia (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) is 1-5 ATS against Conference USA opponents, failing to cover a 21.1 average line by 7.6 points per game.</p><p><a href="'-cajuns-vs-mississippi-state-bulldogs-3447797/odds/" target="_blank" title="Check Louisiana - Mississippi State Odds"><strong>Louisiana at No. 16 Mississippi State (-32), 7:30 p.m. ET, on SEC Network</strong></a><br />Since 2010, the ‘over’ is 11-6-1 when Mississippi State (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) lays three touchdowns or more in a game, the Bulldogs posting 43.1 points per game.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"pt\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;An ELITE performance 💪&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;👀 &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;@H_Kylin&lt;/a&gt;&lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#HailState&lt;/a&gt;🐶 &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#ChampionshipStandard&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— MSU Football 🏈 (@HailStateFB) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;11 de setembro de 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Missouri - Purdue Odds"><strong style="font-size:18px">Missouri (-7) at Purdue, 7:30 p.m. ET, on BTN</strong></a><br />Last season, QB Drew Lock led Missouri (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) to 52 (UConn), 45 Vanderbilt), and 48 (Arkansas) points in three games as road chalk. Does Purdue have the firepower to keep up? Nah.</p><p><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Marshall - South Carolina Odds"><strong>Marshall at South Carolina (-13), 7:30 p.m. ET, on ESPNU</strong></a><br />South Carolina (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) is 1-4 ATS laying 5 points or more to non-Power 5 opponents under head coach Will Muschamp. Opponents are scoring 7.3 points per game more than projected, surpassing their team total in each cover.</p><p><a href=";m-aggies-3448183/odds/" target="_blank" title="Check UL Monroe - Texas A&amp;M Odds"><strong>UL Monroe at Texas A&amp;M (-26.5), 7:30 p.m. ET, on SEC Network</strong></a><br />Texas A&amp;M (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS) is 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine matchups hosting Sun Belt opponents. The Aggies come up 5.7 points shy of a -27.6 average line. They are 0-5-1 ATS laying more than 23 points.</p>
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