SEC Week 2 Overview: Georgia's Defense Will Dog South Carolina

Tuesday, September 4, 2018 1:11 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 4, 2018 1:11 PM UTC

The Georgia defense should shine against rival South Carolina on Saturday. In other SEC action, Texas A&M is the only program catching points versus No. 2 Clemson in another tune-up week for many. 

SEC Spotlight: No. 3 Georgia (-9.5) at South CarolinaSaturday, 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS)Free NCAAF Pick: Georgia -9.5Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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South Carolina (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) cruised to a 49-15 victory over Coastal Carolina in the season opener, the program’s most points in a matchup since dropping 70 on the Chanticleers in 2013. Past results suggest the Gamecocks won’t come any where close to this number hosting SEC rivals Georgia (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS).

Generating a competitive offense against elite competition is head coach Will Muschamp’s downfall. The Gamecocks have played six ranked Power 5 opponents under the defensive guru. They scored more than 13 points in just one, a 24-21 upset win over then-No. 18 Tennessee as 15-point underdogs in 2016. USC musters just 276 total yards and 11.8 points per game in this spot.

The Bulldogs are 11-2 SU and 8-5 ATS on the road against unranked Power 5 programs behind head coach Kirby Smart. They have eclipsed their projected team total in but three contests, averaging 34.0 points per game. This includes 24-10 and 28-14 victories over USC the last two seasons. Georgia is 5-1 ATS when laying less than 19 points, covering a -9.4 average line by 10.8 points per game in the aforementioned scenario.

Some analysts are pointing to a trendy upset pick here, but don’t be tempted. The talent gap in this rivalry is too wide. The Bulldogs roll 31-14 and top the number.

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Take it. Cash it in. Put it on the board.#GoDawgs #GeorgiaFootball

— Georgia Football (@FootballUGA) September 2, 2018

Around the SEC (All Games Saturday)

Nevada at Vanderbilt (-10), noon ET, on SEC Network: Since 2010, Vanderbilt (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) has lost just one of 18 outright as a home favorite hosting a non-conference opponent. Nevada (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) runs an Air Raid offense, which could prove tricky. Since 2008, the Commodores average 41.7 points per game has home chalk with a total of 55 or greater. Over 61.5, anyone?

No. 18 Mississippi State (-7.5) at Kansas State, noon ET, on ESPN: Over the last 20 years, the SEC is 41-8 SU and 32-17 ATS (65.3 percent) laying points against Big 12 opponents. A single-digit line sees the cover rate jump to 74.3 percent (26-9 ATS). With all due respect to the legendary Bill Snyder, Kansas State (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) is overmatched on both sides of the ball by Mississippi State (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)

Arkansas State at No. 1 Alabama (-36.5), 3:30 p.m. ET, on ESPN2: Alabama (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) is just 3-7 SU against Sun Belt foes under head coach Nick Saban. The Crimson Tide often pull their foot off the gas late in blowouts, scoring just 14.6 second-half points. The most profitable and predictable wager is betting "under" in contests with a total of 54 points or higher. It is a perfect 6-0, a 40.0 combined score coming up 15.6 points shy of a 55.6 average total. The Arkansas State (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) total is the highest yet with 63.5 initial offer.

East Tennessee State at Tennessee (OFF), 4 p.m. ET, on SEC Network: FCS East Tennessee State (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) was a dormant program from 2003-2014 due to financial difficulties. This paycheck is needed for survival. The Buccaneers have zero chance at winning, and dare not bite the hand that feeds them. Tennessee (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) romps in a much-needed confidence boost. Lay whatever the number.

Southern Illinois at Ole Miss (OFF), 4 p.m. ET, on SEC Network: The "over" has hit in eight straight with Ole Miss (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) laying points at home. The final score totals 74.5 points. Lean the bet with an experienced Southern Illinois (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) team coming to town fresh off a 49-point effort.

Southeastern Louisiana at No. 25 LSU (OFF), 7 p.m. ET: This LSU (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) defense is special. It’s hard to see Southeastern Louisiana (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) getting out of single digits here. In three prior SEC matchups since 2008, the Lions average 8.4 points per game, never posting greater than 10. A score comes late in the fourth quarter, if at all.

Wyoming at Missouri (-16.5), 7 p.m. ET: NFL-bound QB Drew Lock averages 9.6 yards per passing attempt and 3.1 TDs under center when Missouri (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) kicks off a home favorite. The Tigers roll to 42.3 points per game. Wyoming (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) puts up 15.0 per tilt in seven road SEC efforts over the last 20 years. Mizzou wins by three touchdowns.

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Hear from @DrewLock23 after a 4 TD performance to open the 2018 season.#MIZ #ShowMe 🐯🏈

— Mizzou Football (@MizzouFootball) September 2, 2018

No. 2 Clemson (-12) at Texas A&M, 7 p.m. ET, on ESPN: Since 1989, Texas A&M (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) is 10-2-1 ATS has a double-digit home underdog. Clemson (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) is up to -13 at some shops following a -11 opener.

Alabama State at No. 9 Auburn (OFF), 7:30 p.m. ET, on SEC Network: Auburn (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) has a history of letting FCS foes stay too close for comfort; Jacksonville State 2015, anyone? Alabama State (1-0 SU, 0-0 ATS) has not lost by more than 35 points in their five FBS showdowns to hit the big college football odds board since 2008. Careful.

Arkansas (-12) at Colorado State, 7:30 p.m. ET, on CBSSN: New Arkansas (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) head coach Chad Morris couldn’t ask for a better first FBS test than Colorado State (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS). The Rams are 0-9 ATS dating to Week 7 of 2017, surrendering 498.8 yards per game. More than half (5) have put up 42 points or more. The Razorbacks’ new passing attack will execute at will.

Kentucky at Florida (-14.5), 7:30 p.m. ET, on SEC Network: Here’s your annual reminder that Kentucky (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS) last beat Florida (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) in 1986, going 0-31 SU and 11-20 ATS since.

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