Scoring Bonanza: Colorado St. & Fresno St. To Go 'Over' 59 the College Football Pick

Willie Bee

Thursday, November 26, 2015 2:54 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 26, 2015 2:54 PM UTC

One of the final games on this week's college football odds board takes place in the Mountain West Conference where the Colorado State Rams hit the road to meet Fresno State.

They may call it Rivalry Week, but let's face it, not every game can have the national appeal of say Alabama vs. Auburn or Ohio State battling Michigan. Take the Mountain West Conference matchup late on Saturday's card between the Colorado State Rams and Fresno State Bulldogs, for example.

These two teams play in the same conference yet do not meet each season, to give you a hint about how intense their rivalry is. In addition, this year's matchup has no conference playoff berth riding on the outcome, nor a shot at one team becoming bowl eligible since Colorado State achieved that last week while Fresno State will not go bowling this year.

The CBS Sports Network will carry the contest nonetheless, kickoff at Bulldog Stadium coming a few minutes past 9 PM (ET). The Rams opened the betting proceedings as 8½ point favorites but have since been bet up to 9½ at 5Dimes. The college football odds are also showing 58½ across the board for the total.

It's the lucky 13th game in this series, Colorado State owning a slim 7-5 advantage over the course of the previous dozen clashes since the teams first got together in 1992. One of the encounters took place in the 2008 New Mexico bowl when the Rams posted a 40-35 decision over the Bulldogs, then a member of the WAC.

The schools are meeting on a gridiron for the first time since 2012, the year Fresno State joined the MWC. That contest ended with a 28-7 Bulldogs victory, covering a 17 point spread with a few to spare. The final never approached a 59 point total; the last four played in Fresno went 'over' the marks.


Rams Seek 7th Win Under 1st-Year Head Coach
Colorado State (6-5 straight up, 6-4-1 against the spread) did indeed reach the magical 6-win mark last week, but head coach Mike Bobo knows a seventh dubya would look much better for his Rams come Bowl Selection Sunday. In his first season running the program in Fort Collins after succeeding Jim McElwain, Bobo's squad can secure a tie for second place in the MWC Mountain Division with a victory.

It didn't look like this team would be in the running for a bowl game after a 41-17 loss to San Diego State on Halloween left the Rams 3-5 on the season. Colorado State has since reeled off three consecutive wins, however, covering each decision as a small favorite.

The latest dubya came last week on the road at New Mexico where the Rams were chalked up by a field goal. Colorado State's offense had one of its most balanced games of the season with 221 yards rushing and 264 yards passing in the 28-21 decision. Izzy Matthews and Dalyn Dawkins were the workhorses in the backfield, combining for 183 yards rushing on 37 carries. Sophomore quarterback Nick Stevens was an efficient 16-of-23 passing for 264 yards and a score, a week after tossing four touchdowns in the win over UNLV.


'Dogs Struggling On Both Sides Of Ball
When Tim DeRuyter took over at Fresno State (3-8 SU, 2-8-1 ATS) before the 2012 season, the prediction was the Bulldogs would become a high-octane offense and be a perennial contender in the Mountain West. That was certainly true his first two seasons when FSU ranked 16th and third in the nation in total yards, but the team has taken a giant step backwards in that column this year. The Bulldogs are 122nd averaging a little more than 307 yards per game, and 107th in scoring (21.5 ppg).

It would require a stout defense for those numbers to translate into a winning team, and Fresno State doesn't have even an average defense. The Bulldogs have been especially susceptible to teams with strong ground games, which Colorado State possesses, surrendering over 230 yards rushing per game.

It should be a pretty nice evening in Fresno under mostly clear skies, though a little on the chilly side with the thermometer around 46º at the opening boot. I'm counting on plenty of points in this one and making my free college football pick on the 'over.'

College Football Pick: Over 59 at Bookmaker

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