Saturday's Top 5 College Football Picks Against The Spread

Jason Lake

Thursday, September 22, 2016 3:32 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 22, 2016 3:32 PM UTC

The Alabama Crimson Tide may have beaten the Ole Miss Rebels last week, but the result makes Ole Miss a tasty college football pick for Week 4. The Tide, not so much.

Week 3 was a wild one in college football, and our week 4 college picks didn't come out quite the way we wanted – but the easiest pick of them all cashed in when the Ole Miss Rebels (+11 at home) lost 48-43 to the Alabama Crimson Tide. Let's use that result as a springboard to make some money off both teams in Week 4.


Georgia Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels (–7)
The Rebs (1-2 SU and ATS) showed plenty of gumption in last week's loss. Now, if only they can hold a first-half lead against the Bulldogs (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS). Georgia hasn't played well enough to earn its No. 12 ranking, Ole Miss has a big advantage on the offensive line and special teams, and our early consensus reports had the home team with 58 percent support.

Free NCAAF Pick: Ole Miss –7 (–105)
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (–44)
The Tide (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) deserve credit for the victory, but they couldn't prevent Ole Miss from securing the matador cover. Alabama's value as the No. 1 team in the nation is over-inflated; Kent State (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) doesn't represent much of a threat, but that makes Saturday's game a classic “letdown” spot for 'Bama.

Free NCAAF Pick: Kent State +44 (–105)
Best Line Offered: at Justbet

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Brigham Young Cougars vs. West Virginia Mountaineers (–7)
Football Outsiders have the Cougs (1-2 SU, 3-0 ATS) ranked No. 24 overall on their F/+ combined ratings, six spots ahead of West Virginia (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS). But the Mountaineers were the overwhelming choice of early bettors, steaming from –5 to the magic –7. If the analytics are right, BYU is a value pick at +7, and the full +7.5 might be on the NCAAF odds board by kick-off.

Free NCAAF Pick: Brigham Young +7.5 (–130)
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Nebraska Cornhuskers at Northwestern Wildcats (+7.5)
Those pesky 'Huskers (3-0 SU, 2-0-1 ATS) ended up pushing last week's game against the Oregon Ducks, winning 35-32 in a wild back-and-forth affair. Northwestern (1-2 SU and ATS) played quite well in a 24-13 win over Duke, covering as a 4-point home fave, but the 'Cats still have to wash off the smell from their first two games.

Free NCAAF Pick: Nebraska –7 (–120)
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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Stanford Cardinal at UCLA Bruins (+3)
They haven't covered yet this year, and the Bruins (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS) probably won't cover in Week 4. Stanford (2-0 SU and ATS) has won six straight at 5-1 ATS in this matchup since David Shaw took over from Jim Harbaugh as head coach.

Free NCAAF Pick: Stanford –3 (–105)
Best Line Offered: at Heritage now offering 50% Cash Bonus
Record: 5-6-1 ATS

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