Saturday Night Fever - Close Out Today’s Ticket With These Winners

Wisconsin Badgers

Doug Upstone

Saturday, December 2, 2017 2:46 PM GMT

Saturday, Dec. 2, 2017 2:46 PM GMT

Have not had a whole bunch of luck with our Saturday Night Fever picks the last month, as four different selections have gone from winner to loser in the last 93 seconds or less of games.

Nevertheless, we are football bettors, making college football picks, and sometimes this is part of the deal unfortunately. With not as many choices with the regular season almost complete, I still managed to come up with a trio of selections to go against the college football odds. With a 19-17-3 ATS season record after dark, let's turn this final week into a going away party celebration!

8:00 EST - Miami vs. Clemson on ABC

After a 10-0 start, Miami played like a severely discounted unbeaten team on Black Friday and was upset by Pittsburgh on the road. Losing for the first time late in the season usually signals Play Against material on teams like the Hurricanes. At the same time, we are very familiar with how Clemson has played the last few years in big games. Despite this, I will lean towards contrarian thinking. This Miami team like many before them has a great deal of pride and when this group found out they were +9 or +9.5 point underdogs, I am certain the pride factor kicked and last week's disappointment evaporated. Though Canes blew a possible unbeaten season, they are still positioned to make a run at a national championship and they have the speed on both sides of the ball to compete with the Tigers. I have three models that have Clemson winning by 8, 7 and 4.5 points, which would do the job. Plus, in conference title games, when a team is off a SU favorite defeat, they are 8-0 SU in the title game.

Free College Football Pick: Miami +9Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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8:00 EST - Ohio State vs. Wisconsin on FOX

No lack of motivation for unbeaten Wisconsin, being an underdog against 10-2 Ohio State. The Badgers are in the college football playoff with a victory and while it is probably true the Buckeyes have better overall talent, against the same six foes each team played, Ohio State only had 0.2 PPG edge. Both teams offenses starts by running the ball and while the Buckeyes will get their fair share of yards, Wisconsin's defense allowed 54 YPG in November, for 1.7 YPC. Also, as long as QB Alex Hornibrook does not start making poor choices throwing, the Badgers can cover the six points.

The other aspect of this game is the total, which sits at 51. Both squads have exceptional defenses that make a mess of opposing offenses. For my money, this has the feel of 24-20 outcome. In addition, when neutral field teams like Ohio State have a total between 49.5 and 56, having won three of their last four games, against opponent having won eight or more out of their last 10 games, the UNDER is 31-7.

Free College Football Picks: Wisconsin +6 & Under 51Best Line Offered: at Bovada

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