Saturday Night Fever - Close Out Today’s Ticket With These Winners

Arizona State Sun Devils

Doug Upstone

Saturday, November 4, 2017 3:56 PM GMT

Saturday, Nov. 4, 2017 3:56 PM GMT

One of the unfortunate aspects of sports betting is you can get in a nice groove for a while, have complete confidence in yourself and then feel like you took a right hook from Mike Tyson.

That's what happen to me last Saturday night with my college football picks and ended feeling punch drunk and it was like I had a fever. But you know what, you pick yourself off the mat and realize there are always more games to bet on the very next day.

With this in mind, I will look to defeat the college football odds and better 14-11-2 ATS record this Saturday night. I have to admit, I do like tonight's card.

 

7:15 EDT - Texas vs TCU on ESPN

In college football, everything can change because of one game, ask TCU after losing at Iowa State. Not only does that upset loss at Ames have football bettors viewing them differently, they face a treacherous Texas crew this week and are at Oklahoma the week after. The Horned Frogs will have to be much sharper for Longhorns, who have more ability than Iowa State, if not lacking in overall execution. Can QB Kenny Hill bounce back after reverting to past tendencies? TCU is on 1-9 ATS downer as home favorite. Since Maryland misstep, Texas is 7-0 ATS and in every game. The Horns defense continues to play well and if they can eliminate coverage busts, they might well win this Big 12 battle.

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 8:00 EDT - Virginia Tech vs Miami-FL on ABC

When the line for Virginia Tech and Miami-Fl was released with the Hokies as road favorites, I was initially surprised. After more consideration, it dawned on me that sometimes you have to pay attention to what the oddsmakers are saying. Since defeating Duke, the Hurricanes have narrowly won their past four contests and failed to beat the spread in past three. The margin of victory has been 4.5 points a game versus spreads that averaged 12-points per outing. The problem has not been moving the ball, as the offensive yards has been nearly identical to what they have accomplished all season, but in the last three games they are down to 25.3 points a game compared to 32 on the entire year. This, in my opinion, makes them vulnerable. With the Canes now as favorites, I like Virginia Tech even more as they win by a touchdown.

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 9:00 EDT - Colorado vs Arizona State on PAC-12N

In the Pac-12, this confrontation has two similar teams that are rather average. Colorado tends to rely more on its offense to win games while Arizona State is at its best when the defensive shines and offense plays at their pace. Because the Buffaloes do not rush the passer well, this helps the Sun Devils. While revenge is not the end all to be all, ASU was blasted at Boulder 40-10 last year and coming off a stinging defeat to USC, expect ASU to be ready to play and move to 9-1 and 7-2 ATS against the Buffs and remain perfect at Tempe, where they are 4-0 SU and ATS.

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Free College Football Picks: Texas +7, Virginia Tech +1.5 and Arizona State -3Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes
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