Saturday Night Fever - Close Out Today’s Ticket With These Week 12 Winners

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Doug Upstone

Saturday, November 18, 2017 8:23 PM GMT

Saturday, Nov. 18, 2017 8:23 PM GMT

With Thanksgiving just a few days away, tonight would be a great opportunity to give ourselves some extra cash and if I do as well as anticipated, you might be thanking me later this evening.

Time to roll out some more college football picks after dark and coming off a 2-0-1 week last Saturday night, our record improved to 17-13-3 ATS.

Tonight, we are going to be all over the place, checking out Conference USA, the SEC and finishing up in the Pac-12 for an annual battle of Los Angeles. Have to admit, like our chances of success versus the college football odds tonight!

 

7:00 EST - Marshall at UTSA

I think oddsmakers had it right to begin with, making Marshall a -1.5 point road favorite. Since Tuesday, the money has flowed towards UTSA, who is now at -1. Statistically, the teams are very similar, with the Roadrunners have an overall better defense, thought some the numbers have come against a weaker schedule. Drilling down we find Marshall is as good edge on both sides of the ball in a category known as - Yards Per Point. Basically what this tells us is the Thundering Herd is more efficient on offense and stingier on defense. Now let's close this out with Marshall 4-1 ATS on the road this season and UTSA is 0-4 ATS at home, which is hard to ignore.

Free College Football Picks: Marshal +3
Best Lines Avalaible at 5Dimes

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7:30 EST - Missouri at Vanderbilt on SECN

Sometimes you just have to follow the numbers. Missouri has won four in a row, covered six straight and has outscored the opposition by eye-popping 37.2 PPG. (not a misprint) In this period the Tigers offense has averaged 53.7 PPG. Vanderbilt on the other hand has lost six of seven (1-5-1 ATS) after 3-0 start to the season. All six setbacks have come in the SEC where they have been carved up like Thanksgiving turkey for 46.1 PPG. In putting these numbers together for comparison, it is not real difficult to see what is the right side to back.

Free College Football Picks: MIzzou -7
Best Lines Available at Heritage

 

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8:00 EST - UCLA at USC on ABC

In Los Angeles, the winner of the Victory Bell is a really big deal in this cross-town rivalry. Nationally, the game itself is not particularly important, however, what makes this storied rivalry worth watching is the quarterback clash of Sam Darnold against Josh Rosen. Though Rosen will have a chance to shine, chances are he will be in usual come from behind mode. The UCLA defense is among the worst in the country, ranked 123rd in points allowed (38.6 PPG) and 124th in yards allowed (499). With USC having stopped turning the ball over three times a game, with just two in assembling 3-0 SU and ATS win streak, I do not see how the Bruins end up being within 20 points and the Trojans win 51-28.

Free College Football Picks: USC -14.5
Best Lines Avalaible at 5Dimes

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