Saturday Last Call: Rice to Get Cooked By Hawaii Passing Game

Thursday, September 6, 2018 12:28 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 6, 2018 12:28 PM UTC

Hawaii has been a surprising factor for late night bettors in their first 2 games. Mark Lathrop takes a look at their home matchup with Rice to see if their is any value on the side or total.

<p style="text-align:right"><em><strong>2018 NCAAF Record: 5-1, 7.46u</strong></em><br /><em><strong>*Note: Record includes official Twitter selections (@mlathrop3)</strong></em></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Rice Owls - Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Odds">Rice Owls (1-1 SU) at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (2-0 SU)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Sunday<strong>, 12 a.m. ET</strong></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NCAAF Pick: Over</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=5dimes" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Check This Top Rated Sportsbook">5Dimes</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3453520, "sportsbooksIds":[19,238,93,349,999996], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>I’m going to be covering a lot of Hawaii games in this Last Call series, and for that I’m considering myself lucky that they’ve had an interesting start to the season and are overperforming expectations in nearly every way possible. The line for this game reflects that, as some outlets predicted this line as -4.5 in favor of Hawaii while it currently sits at -17.5. The Owls are a perfect 7-0 ATS against Hawaii, but this is a terribly young and inexperienced team for Rice this year.</p><p>With a tight win as a 22-point favorite over Prairie View, and a drubbing at the hands of Houston, the line movement is not surprising. Especially with Hawaii winning outright as a double-digit underdog in the first 2 weeks of their season. Rice’s weakness of passing defense plays right into the hands of Hawaii as well. Last season, the Owls allowed a 70% completion rate to opposing quarterbacks. There was more of the same against the first FBS opponent this year, as Houston’s D’Eriq King completed 70.8% of his passes for 320 yards in the Cougars 45-27 win. Rice’s new rushing first offense was on the ground in week 1, but the stank-meister Shawn Stankavage was able to pass for 3 touchdowns to make the final score respectable. Houston scored the Owls 28-3 in the 2<sup>nd</sup> half.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"pt\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Can’t wait until Saturday’s game vs Rice? Here’s a highlight package of the 59-41 win over Navy to keep you busy. &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#HawaiiFB&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#LiveAlohaPlayWarrior&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#RunAndShootIsBack&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Hawaii Football (@HawaiiFootball) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;5 de setembro de 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><p>Hawaii also had 2<sup>nd</sup> half trouble against Navy, as the run only attack of the Midshipmen finally wore down the Hawaii offense. I expected a bigger game out of Navy QB, Malcolm Perry, but he did chop off a 75-yard touchdown scamper in the 2<sup>nd</sup> quarter. In the end though, Hawaii’s 28-0 start was enough to hold off Navy with a final score of 59-41.</p><p>That’s 100 points, folks, against a Navy team that only had 13 pass attempts all night. Cole McDonald completed 73.2 percent of his passes for 428 yards and 6 touchdowns against a team with a better passing defense than Rice will bring to town as well. My issue with this game for Rice is pace, and even though Rice will be trying to run the ball as part of their new look offense, they will fall behind early if they aren’t successful right off the bat. And with Rice allowing a 70% completion rate there is nearly nothing to tell us that Hawaii won’t continue passing the ball around. I’ll take the Over here with the thought of Hawaii scoring in bunches again, and possibly with the Rainbow Warriors defense regressing to their preseason average. I grabbed the ticket at 68 earlier in the week, but would not hesitate at the current line of 71.</p><p style="text-align:center"><strong><a href="" target="_blank" title="College Football Odds">Check the Best Odds on College Football</a></strong></p>
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