San Jose State Can't Keep up With Hawaii

Hawaii QB Dru Brown

Rainman M.

Saturday, October 14, 2017 5:15 PM GMT

Saturday, Oct. 14, 2017 5:15 PM GMT

Hawaii (2-4) hosts San Jose State (1-6) this Saturday at 11:59 PM ET. The Rainbow Warriors are favored by between 17 and 18 points. The game total is 61, join expert capper for a winning college football pick.

San Jose State Spartans vs Hawaii Warriors  

Hawaii is historically known to be a pass-first team which has produced various NFL quarterbacks. They rank 25th in passing yards per game. Quarterback Dru Brown is averaging 2 touchdowns per game.

Brown has been relatively prone to throwing interceptions this year. His opponent, however, is ranked outside the top 100 in achieving interceptions. Last year, Brown threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in a 34-17 win at San Jose State.

The main benefit of betting on a toilet bowl such as this is that most people do not like to bet on toilet bowls. Consequently, the line set by oddsmakers is not as tight. Oddsmakers do not appreciate just how bad of a team San Jose State is.

San Jose State received mercy last week from Fresno State, who went up 21-0 at halftime and coasted to a 27-10 victory. But before last week, San Jose State had given up 40 points in four consecutive games, while scoring less than 20.

The key is that San Jose State's pass defense is ranked 74th in passing yards allowed. Even this number is deflated because the Spartans are passed on with the 46th lowest frequency. Teams generally try to exploit the Spartans' rush defense first, thus masking how bad the Spartans' pass defense is.

Hawaii's rush attack is led by Diocemy Saint Juste, who is already coming off his second 200-yard game of the season.  San Jose State allows 292.2 rush yards allowed, which ranks 128th. Saint Juste should have a field day against the Spartans' rush defense. 

Because the Spartans will struggle to stop Hawaii's rush attack, Hawaii will be able to indulge with incessant success in their historically favorite offensive activity: the pass attack.

Meanwhile, no matter who they face, the Spartans fail to produce points. Their anemic office is ranked 125th with 11.8 points per game.

 

The Verdict

Hawaii has an offense, but San Jose State does not. Nor does San Jose State have a defense. Hawaii can score at will against a hapless Spartans team that is on its worst on the road, where they are 1-5 in their last 6 ATS. Overall, they are 0-4-1 in their last 5 ATS on our NCAAF Picks.

 

Free NCAAF Pick: Hawaii -17Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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