San Jose St. Spartans vs. Auburn Tigers College Football Pick

Jeff Grant

Thursday, September 4, 2014 2:57 PM GMT

Thursday, Sep. 4, 2014 2:57 PM GMT

The Auburn Tigers have one of the more explosive offenses in the country, but they may lack the necessary focus to light up the scoreboard against the San Jose State Spartans Saturday.

A Tough Spot
San Jose State aims to start a season 2-0 for the first time since 1987, as it comes off a 42-10 victory over North Dakota as 23.5-point home favorites last Thursday, while going UNDER the betting total of 57.5.

The Spartans have dropped their last 11 road openers by an average of 34 points, which is important to consider when looking over the college football odds, especially since they’ve compiled a 1-21 mark versus ranked foes since 2001.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 2-0 ATS as road underdogs of 21.5 or more points, with both of those contests going UNDER the betting total.

Piling Up the Numbers
Auburn has scored 30 points or more in a school-record 11 consecutive games, but it may suffer a bit of an emotional letdown in this affair, as it picked up a 45-21 victory over the Arkansas Razorbacks as 17-point home favorites in its Southeastern Conference opener last Saturday.

The Tigers won the statistical battle by a 267-yard margin in their first game of the 2014 campaign, with Jeremy Johnson and Nick Marshall both seeing time under center.

NCAA football handicappers will find that the squad is 3-0 SUATS as favorites of 21.5 to 31 points since the start of the 2012 campaign.

 

Preparation Time
Spartans second-year head coach Ron Caragher made a very important hire during the offseason, as he brought in Greg Robinson to be the team’s defensive coordinator—someone that has five decades of NFL and NCAA Division I experience.

Robinson has likely spent months looking over tape of Auburn’s explosive offense, which will benefit a unit that returned eight starters from a season ago.

It’s also important to point out that San Jose State held Stanford to 404 total yards in a 34-13 road defeat in Week 2 last season.

 

Don’t Forget About the Defense
The Tigers prolific rushing attack under Gus Malzahn receives most of the headlines, but their defense put up a major effort last week—holding a capable Razorbacks attack to just 328 total yards.

Auburn should have no trouble duplicating that effort, especially with San Jose State quarterback Blake Jurich making his second career start.  He has played in 18 games during his time on campus, but watched NFL draft choice David Fales put up prolific passing numbers.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the total as one of their Week 2 college football picks, as the UNDER is 5-2 in the Tigers’ last seven games in the month of September.
College Football Pick:  Under 65.5 at 5Dimes

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":293782, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here