San Diego State vs. Boise State Picks College Football Week 5: Broncos Look for First ATS Win
San Diego State and Boise State enter Friday's clash with a combined 1-6-1 ATS record. Check out our San Diego State-Boise State picks below.
The Boise State Broncos get to play host with a 2-2 straight-up record but sitting at just 0-3-1. However, the Broncos are coming off their worst showing of the season, losing 27-10 to UTEP as a 16.5-point favorite last week.
The San Diego State Aztecs are also 2-2 but may be trending more in the proper direction after a 17-14 upset win over Toledo last week.
Here are our top picks for the college football Week 5 game between San Diego State and Boise State (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
San Diego State vs. Boise State Game Info
Date: Friday, Sept, 30, 8 p.m. ET
TV: FS1
Location: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Weather: 48 degrees, 4% chance of precipitation, 14-mph winds
San Diego State vs. Boise State Odds
San Diego State vs. Boise State Analysis
Boise State has been bet up from a 5-point favorite on the opening line to a consensus spread of -6.5 as of Friday morning. Seventy-two percent of the tickets account for 65% of the cash on the Broncos.
The Over/Under has dropped from an opening line of 41 to 39. The Over has drawn 51% of the ticket but just 43% of the cash.
San Diego State vs. Boise State Picks
San Diego State vs. Boise State ATS Pick
San Diego State +6.5 (-114) ★★★★
How can anyone lay six points with the Broncos right now? They are 0-3-1 against the spread and just lost by 17 as 16.5-point favorites in Week 4.
In their seven meetings with the Broncos, the Aztecs are 6-1 ATS. In their last two meetings, they have won outright as underdogs, including once in Boise.
The Aztecs picked up a win last week, despite being 3-point underdogs against Toledo. In that game, the Aztecs turned the Rockets over four times. If the defense can hound the ball as they did in Week 4, then they should have success against Bachmeier who only has three turnovers on the season, but has yet to look comfortable in any game.
Don’t be surprised to see the Aztecs win outright.
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San Diego State vs. Boise State O/U Pick
Under 39 (-110) ★
This is a perfect line. The Under has cashed in 10 of the last 11 Broncos’ games, including in three of their four matchups this season. The Under has also hit in three of the Aztecs’ four games this season.
Now, Oddsmakers are finally lowering the line and putting this one under 40. However, this game is going to be tight, and it would not be surprising to see it end 21-17, 24-21, or anywhere in between.
Neither offense has been very good, and the defenses have been pretty solid. But this is not a lot of points to score. The lean is Under, but I’d probably stay away from this one.
San Diego State vs. Boise State Prop Pick
San Diego State to win first half (+175) ★★★
The Broncos have not started well at all this season. They trailed UTEP 10-3 at halftime last week, and they trailed Oregon State 24-0 in Week 1. They did lead 10-0 over New Mexico and 20-7 over Tennessee-Martin, but San Diego State is much more similar to the first two teams than the latter.
The Aztecs shut out the Rockets in the first half last week, to head into the break with a 7-0 lead. As long as the offense can find a way to get into the end zone once in the first half this week, their defense should be able to keep the Broncos’ offense in a funk.
Where to Bet on San Diego State vs. Boise State
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San Diego State vs. Boise State picks made 9/27/2022 at 10:23 a.m. ET
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