Recapping College Football Action Ahead Of Week 6

Kevin Stott

Sunday, October 2, 2016 8:27 PM UTC

Sunday, Oct. 2, 2016 8:27 PM UTC

Week 5 was a good one for Michigan, Clemson, and Alabama as all three remained undefeated and in the hunt for the College Football Playoff. But what did we learn? We learned that Toledo is still the best money-maker right now while Louisville is an Over team. Let’s see what we learned east of Old Man River in NCAAF this weekend.

Pretty Good Week For Top-Ranked Home CFP Contenders

College Football Week 5 offered a couple of wonderful showdowns east of the Mississippi River in the Big 10 and ACC Saturday with #4 Michigan and Deshaun Watson and #5 Clemson staying in the hunt with wins and Toledo suffering its first loss at BYU but still covering ATS, as it always seems to do. And #1 Alabama was stuck in first gear for the 1st Quarter, but the Crimson Tide finally awoke and defeated the Wildcats, 34-6 to stay on track for that CFP—the Fiesta and Peach Bowls on Dec. 31—but failed to cover the 37½ point spread, thanks in great part to that sluggish start in Tuscaloosa and an impressive Kentucky effort.

Toledo continued to reign as the current NCAAF ATS champion, improving to 4-0 ATS after a thrilling last second, 45-43 loss to BYU in Provo on Friday. The Rockets are 13-2-1 ATS in their L16 (86.7%) and play Eastern Michigan this Saturday at Ypsilanti where they’re 3-1 ATS the L4. So we learned Toledo’s a must-bet team despite any perceived regression to that statistical mean can be ignored as it scores so fast and will surely be motivated by this loss to the Cougars.


Big Line Move From Clemson To Louisville as Fave Cost Bettors Saturday Night

#5 Clemson (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS) showed it’ as tough as its ranking and this impressive 42-36 victory against #3 Louisville (4-1 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) which again showed the importance of Site and that often when Sharps and/or the General Public move a game from a 3½-point Road underdog to as a high as a 1½-point chalk,  then maybe the Waves were just a little too high and everyone grabbing their surfboards should have thought about the value of Death Valley as well as the dreaded Sports Illustrated cover curse (Louisville QB Lamar Jackson).

Louisville's (+600 to win NCAA Championship, at 5Dimes) now played 5 straight Overs (64½, at 5Dimes) averaging 84.4 ppg and the Cardinals have also played 8 Regular Season Overs in a row. So, we learned Louisville’s an Over team. Clemson’s (+628 to win NCAA Championship, at Bookmaker) at BC Saturday (CLEM -18½, 2016 Games of Year, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) while Louisville has an Off Week before hosting Duke on Oct. 14 (LOU -27½, 2016 Games of Year, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook). Clemson’s next big game comes Oct. 29 in Tallahassee against slumping Florida State. (CLEM -1, 2016 Games of Year, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) .



NCAAF Futures Book Pick: Clemson -1 over FSU, 2016 Games of the Year, Oct. 29, (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)
NCAAF Picks Record: 8-3-0

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