QB Issues Make Oklahoma State the Safer College Football Pick Against Oklahoma

David Lawrence

Tuesday, November 24, 2015 4:17 PM GMT

The Oklahoma Sooners and the Oklahoma State Cowboys play a game with Big 12 championship implications on Saturday night. Let's provide with the safe college football pick here.

Momentum
The Sooners don’t have as much momentum as you might think. They did beat TCU in a thriller on Saturday, but they did so by only one point, against an opponent which was playing without its best quarterback, Trevone Boykin, and its best wide receiver, Josh Doctson. The Sooners struggled not just because of their level of play, but also because quarterback Baker Mayfield left the game in the second half over concerns that he might have been concussed. There is some doubt that he will play in this game, but probably not enough to prevent him from playing. Yet, it’s a big source of concern for the Sooners that backup quarterback Trevor Knight, who led the team to a victory over Alabama in the Sugar Bowl two seasons ago, looked horrible as Mayfield’s replacement. The Sooners’ offense came to a complete halt once Knight entered the game. Oklahoma can’t pass the ball nearly as well with Knight as it can (and has) with Mayfield. That is something which must make the Sooners and head coach Bob Stoops very nervous. The Sooners are playing for a conference title and a possible spot in the playoff, but they have a lot of worries and issues to address during the coming week before kickoff time.

Oklahoma State might not have a quarterback injury situation to deal with, but the Cowboys have an even worse headache after Baylor gained over 700 yards against them on Saturday. The Cowboys’  defense was lit up, and what has to give Oklahoma some encouragement is that even when Baylor had to go to a third-string quarterback (on the depth chart at the beginning of the season), the Bears continued to move the ball and score. Oklahoma State’s defense has to bounce back very quickly, or all the promise of this season will slip away. Oklahoma State has to be able to get the jump in this game, instead of continuing to fall behind, which happened against Baylor. A bad start will only continue the bad feelings from the Baylor game and snowball into another difficult night against Oklahoma.

 

Line Moves
We’ve seen the college football odds open up here at 6.5 to 7 at most places but it has been held back by a number of sportsbooks. That’s because Oklahoma starting quarterback Baker Mayfield, a Heisman Trophy candidate, is questionable with a head injury.

 

Notable Injuries
Oklahoma has running back Rodney Anderson listed as out for the season with a leg injury. Wide receiver Austin Bennett left the team. Starting quarterback Baker Mayfield is indeed questionable with a head injury.

Oklahoma State has linebacker Ryan Simmons listed as out for the season with a knee injury. Tight end Blake Jarwin is out for this game with a rib injury. Defensive end Jimmy Bean is out for the season with a knee injury.

 

Handicapping The Game
Oklahoma State’s defense is vulnerable, but if Mayfield is not 100 percent or at least very close to it, the Sooners are in huge trouble. If Mayfield plays the whole game, Oklahoma could be okay, but the injury situation seems questionable enough that Oklahoma State is the safer and better pick. Take them with your college football picks.

College Football Pick: Oklahoma State +6.5 at The Greek

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