Profitable College Football Pick Playing New Mexico +28 vs. ASU

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, September 15, 2015 12:59 PM GMT

Will Arizona State look past New Mexico with USC up next? Can New Mexico stay within this huge betting odds number by utilizing their productive rushing attack? Go inside and find out.

Lobos Travel to the Desert on Friday Night to Face Sun Devils
Arizona State will host New Mexico in a non-conference battle on Friday. The opening kickoff at Sun Devil Stadium in Tempe is slated for 10:00 PM ET. According to current (9/14) College Football Betting Odds at major sportsbooks, ASU is anywhere from a 27.5 to 28.0 point favorite. At the time of this writing, the total was 65.5 at all major outlets. These teams met a season ago in New Mexico, and ASU was a 58-23 blowout winner while covering as a 25.0 point favorite.

 

Disappointing Effort Last Week for New Mexico
New Mexico opened the season with a 66-0 blowout win over Mississippi Valley State. Granted the victory came over a FCS school which is best known as the alma mater of NFL Hall of Fame wide receiver Jerry Rice. Considering this is a Lobos football program which has gone 11-26 in the first three years of current head coach Bob Davie’s tenure, it was an encouraging start nonetheless. However, they were humbled last Saturday in a 40-21 home loss to Tulsa. They were thoroughly dominated by the Golden Hurricane, outgained by a wide margin of 210 yards. One thing that the Lobos can certainly hang their hats on is their running game. They rushed for a combined 584 yards in their first two games, and averaged a healthy 5.8 yards per attempt.

 

Guarding against a “Look Ahead Spot”
Arizona State opened the season with a disappointing 38-17 lopsided loss to Texas A&M. They were less than impressive last Saturday in a 35-21 win over Cal Poly. They outgained their FCS opponent by 201 yards, but their -2 turnover differential kept the game closer than it should’ve been. Now they’ll be a four touchdown favorite against an opponent that they hammered on the road last year, and must guard against looking ahead to next week’s game at home versus #6 USC.

 

Final Analysis
Arizona State has allowed 462 yards rushing in their first two games, and that includes 284 amassed by Cal Poly last Saturday. That’s very concerning considering New Mexico’s ability to run the ball. Let’s face it Arizona State is far and away the better team in this matchup. Despite that clearly being the case, I’ll have a very small lean toward the sizable road underdog as one of my early College Football Picks.

College Football Pick: Play on New Mexico +28.0 at The Greek