For years, the ACC has been Clemson vs. everyone else. While there won’t be a changing of the guard, the power might see another shift this season. Clemson will be frontrunners, but other programs are looking to climb into the second tier. UNC has an experienced quarterback. Miami wants to compete with the Tigers in the ACC. FSU is excited about their new quarterback.
Still, nothing is certain. That’s why win total predictions are so hard. Someone will disappoint, and another team will surprise us. Here are predictions for the over/under on win totals for the upcoming college football season.
Boston College: Over 7 wins (-140)
Boston College returns almost every starter on offense and defense. Last season, the Eagles went 6-5. Bringing so many starters back will add chemistry. They should have one of the best offensive lines in the conference, and they also retain their starting quarterback.
Losing Hunter Long will be tough for the passing game, but there are plenty of weapons on offense. As long as the defense can remain above-average, the Eagles should be approaching 8-4. A .500 season for this roster would be a disappointment.
Clemson: Under 11.5 wins (-140)
Clemson usually tears through their regular-season schedule, but they will have a few tests this season. For starters, they will be without their starting quarterback, running back and receiver from last year’s offense. Being without Lawrence and Etienne will be tough. While they recruit so well, the experience isn’t there.
Clemson has to play Georgia to start their season. The Bulldogs return most of their key players, and their experience could lead them past the Tigers. If not, Clemson could still be upset once again in the regular season.
Duke: Over 3.5 (-130)
Duke has a bad roster, and they won’t be favored in most of their games. There’s a reason why they are viewed as the worst team in the ACC. Still, they have an incredibly easy non-conference schedule. They could get three wins from outside the conference alone. As long as they can beat one team on their schedule in the ACC, they should hit the over.
Florida State: Under 5.5 (+110)
Florida State has a new quarterback, and Milton’s talents will push the needle for this team. However, he hasn’t played since suffering a gruesome injury when he played for UCF. He may not reach his previous heights.
FSU has to play Florida, Clemson, Notre Dame, North Carolina and Miami. That should be five losses.
Georgia Tech: Under 5 wins (-110)
The Yellow Jackets are still trying to grow beyond the triple option, but things like that will take time. The bad news for Georgia Tech is that they have to play so many top-ranked teams. Notre Dame will be a tough game out of the conference, and their yearly rivalry with Georgia will resurface this season.
Georgia Tech has a tough schedule, but they return plenty of starters. The only problem is that those starters failed to produce last season. Will there be enough for Georgia Tech to go .500? I say no.
Louisville: Under 6.5 wins (-115)
The only thing working in Louisville’s favor is a relatively easy schedule and the return of Malik Cunningham. For a team that went 4-7, it might be good to have so few players returning. Still, the Cardinals aren’t ready to take the leap. They’re not that team.
Miami: Under 9.5 wins (-155)
This has nothing to do with Miami as a team. They have a great quarterback and a solid defense. The only problem is that the Hurricanes have to play both Alabama and North Carolina away from their home stadium. The Hurricanes have so many returning players, but there are a bunch of question marks on this team. How will they do without a dominant pass rusher? Can they get sack production again?
NC State: Under 6 wins (+135)
This is a value play. While NC State could easily be 7-5, there are too many tough games on their schedule. They have to play UNC on a Friday and at Boston College. They also have to play at Mississippi State. They overperformed last year, but that doesn’t mean they will be able to live up to the hype again.
North Carolina: Over 10 wins (+115)
This is another value play. I don’t see UNC going 11-1, but there is no value in the under here. North Carolina has a Heisman candidate in Sam Howell and a schedule without Clemson. They have to travel to Notre Dame, but that’s a winnable game.
Mack Brown has proven himself as a head coach. There’s a great chance the Tarheels make it to the ACC Championship, and they could potentially go 11-1.
Pittsburgh: Over 7 wins (-125)
Pittsburgh has an underrated coach and an easy schedule. They could easily go 4-0 out of the conference, and they host Clemson and North Carolina. If Kenny Pickett can limit his turnovers, the Panthers could go 8-4.
Syracuse: Under 3.5 wins (-130)
Syracuse has little value with the under, but they have one of the worst rosters in the Power 5. They went 1-10 last season but still retained most of their starters. Still, they’ll need something out of transfer quarterback Garrett Shrader to turn things around, and I’m not sure he can deliver.
Virginia: Under 6 wins (+105)
This is another value play. Virginia has question marks on defense, and their schedule isn’t the easiest. They have some tough road games, and they have to play Notre Dame outside of the conference.
Virginia Tech: Under 7 wins (-135)
The Hokies had a tough season, and they still have to replace Hendon Hooker. If they can’t get production from underclassmen, Virginia Tech will fail to reach a bowl game.