Point Spread College Football Picks for UNLV vs. Arizona

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, August 27, 2014 6:35 AM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 27, 2014 6:35 AM UTC

In my weekly College Football Pointspread Prognosis Newsletter, I’ll isolate a single contest in which the difference at the point of attack is so dichotomous that we can only expect the favored team to blast through the pointspread and steamroll their way to victory.   

Such is the case tonight when the UNLV Running Rebels travel to Tucson for a night that can only be described as “death in the desert.” Last season saw Arizona roll to a 58-13 victory in Las Vegas on September 7th. In that contest, Arizona rolled to 397 yards overland on 5.4 YPR.  Look for more of the same on Friday, and place your bet at a sportsbook like Bodog.


Under 5th year HC Hauck, UNLV has been a perennially poor road team. Those fortunes changed temporarily last season, when the Rebels covered the number at outmanned foes, New Mexico, Nevada, Air Force and by a single point in a 38-14 loss to Fresno. This year, however, the Rebels are not nearly as experienced. As a result, I look for them to revert to their former ways on the road in which they had been 3-17 ATS in the first 3 years under Hauck. Barely escaping academic suspension, the prognosis is not a healthy one for last year’s 7-6 SU team, who is again projected to return to the losing ways that saw them go 6-32 in the 3 previous seasons. The loss of their 2 best offensive players, QB Herring and RB Cornett, will do nothing to aide in their transition. Know that this is a defense that has allowed an average of 210/5.0 overland in the 4 previous years, including 216/5.0 last season. 


University of Arizona
Under 3rd year HC Rodriguez, the Wildcats have recorded consecutive 8-5 SU seasons. At the heart of this improvement is a revamped offense.  Credit the read-option attack for the explosive offensive numbers. Though the Wildcats lose RB Carey and QB Denker, they will still operate behind an offensive line that returns virtually intact. Now, in his 3rd season, Rodriguez has stockpiled plenty of offensive skill position players to make sure this offense runs smoothly. In two years under Rodriguez, Arizona has averaged 36 PPG, including 245 YPG rushing on 5.4 YPR. 


Free College Football Pick
In last season’s 58-13 romp, Arizona led this matchup by a score of 45-7 at the half. No surprise to this bureau if the results are similar to last year’s game, as the Wildcats claw the Rebels, steamrolling them into submission at the point of attack, resulting in a 4TD+ margin of victory. 

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