Poinsettia Bowl Betting - Public & Sharps Betting BYU vs. Wyoming Despite Hill’s Absence

Brigham Young Cougars player

Monday, December 19, 2016 2:51 PM GMT

Even with star senior QB Taysom Hill out injured, the point spread on Poinsettia Bowl favorite BYU has continued to rise against Wyoming after opening at 7½. So has the value been sucked out of the Cougars, will this line continue to climb and is it okay to lay double-digit lumber? Let’s take a look.

Poinsettia Bowl, Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA

BYU Cougars vs. Wyoming Cowboys (ESPN, Directv 206, 9 p.m. EST): With Jamaal Williams of BYU (8-4 SU, 9-3 ATS) and Brian Hill of Wyoming (8-5 SU/ATS), there should be plenty of Rushing at in the Poinsettia Bowl at Qualcomm Stadium (Grass) in San Diego (Clear, 50°) Wednesday night and current NCAAF odds in this matchup see BYU up to 10-point favorites almost everywhere. The total is between 57 and 57½ with the money line seeing BYU up 30 cents to -355 chalks with Wyoming at +302.

So the money is on the chalks here, and could go to 11-12, but at that point, expect some sharp buyback or betting from those trying to middle the game hoping it falls on (BYU by) 8, 9 or 10.

 Wyoming Cowboys Outlook Heading In

Wyoming HC Craig Bohl (17-17 ATS) won the MWC Coach of the Year and the Cowboys (MWC West-leading 38.2 ppg) had one of their best seasons ever, led by QB Josh Allen, All-American RB Brian Hill, and WR Tanner Gentry. So Wyoming has the Offensive weapons—including All-America Center Chase Roullier— to hang with and potentially rally from a deficit.


 

One reason the spread is so high is the Cowboys (3-7 ATS L10 Non-Conference) played a slightly weaker schedule than Independent BYU (30.5 ppg) which faced the likes of Utah, UCLA, West Virginia, Michigan State, Toledo, Cincinnati and common opponent Boise State. Wyoming (1-4 ATS L5 Grass) did win three of the five tough dates on its schedule tough, upsetting then #13 Boise State, beating Air Force and splitting with San Diego State and losing to Nebraska in Lincoln, but all those tough conference games—including the MWC Championship Game—were played in Laramie.

 

BYU Cougars Outlook Heading In

With QB Taysom Hill (Elbow) out injured and Tanner Mangum playing instead, BYU will look to RB Jamaal Williams but won’t lose as much as some think in the passing game. The Cougars will have had plenty of time to prepare with Mangum. The movement of the number indicates Sharps aren’t worried about Hill’s absence and know Mangum (6-3, 215) is capable.

 

The Cougars will look for WR Nick Kurtz and may actually pass a bit more this being a Bowl game and losing the impressive Rushing yardage Hill provided. But playing in his last game in a sacred BYU uniform and wanting to impress NFL scouts, Williams should be able to make up for those theoretically lost yards.

 

Final Thoughts

Wyoming’s Defense (34.8 ppg, #122 FBS) may be the weak link in this game and lifetime the Cowboys are 2-13 SU vs. BYU and in the L5 meetings (2006-2010), the Cougars went 5-0 SU (4-1 ATS) against Wyoming, outscoring them 201-37 in the process.

But those were lessor Wyoming teams and from a time when these two played in the same conference (MWC). In the end, it should be Expectations, the BYU Defense (19.4 ppg, Tied #28 FBS) and the Cougars Bowl Experience which make the big difference.

 

Predicted Final Score: BYU 31 Wyoming 20Free NCAAF Picks: BYU -10 Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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