Play With Rested Rutgers Plus Odds as the Best Value College Football Pick vs. Michigan State

David Lawrence

Tuesday, October 6, 2015 2:39 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 6, 2015 2:39 PM GMT

The Michigan State Spartans had to sweat out a win last weekend. Can they cover a big number against a Rutgers team fresh off a bye? Let us give you our take and the college football pick.

Momentum
The Spartans barely squeaked past Purdue at home, 24-21, in a game in which they were 21-point favorites. Michigan State really misses offensive lineman Jack Conklin and linebacker Ed Davis, who was injured back in August. Losses on both sides of the ball have happened to strike Michigan State’s most important “nerve centers” in terms of the team’s roster, and the Spartans are struggling to adjust. Purdue should not come close to beating Michigan State in East Lansing, but the Boilermakers had the ball in the final two minutes with a chance to win or tie. This should concern coach Mark Dantonio, who needs to get more out of his team in the weeks ahead.

Rutgers is coming off a bye week and a win, but the win was at home against Kansas, which is one of the two or three worst teams from one of the bigger conferences in college football. That win is a mirage, but Rutgers’ hope is that if Purdue could come close to Michigan State on the road, RU can come close at home, and maybe even steal this win.

 

Line Moves
Michigan State started as a 17.5-point favorite, but the college football odds have dipped to 15.5 points. The Jack Conklin injury is a big part of this. Seeing Michigan State continue to struggle against Purdue is obviously the biggest reason for this shift.

 

Notable Injuries
Michigan State defensive back Mark Meyers has been suspended and is out indefinitely. Cornerback Vayante Copeland is out for the season with a neck injury. Linebacker Drake Martinez is out indefinitely with a foot injury. Offensive tackle Kodi Kieler is out indefinitely with a leg injury. Offensive tackle Jack Conklin, a particularly important and reliable member of the offensive line, is doubtful with a knee injury, a big reason the line dipped two points.

Defensive end Montez Sweat is out indefinitely, due to a suspension. Wide receiver Macgarrett Kings, Jr. is questionable for an undisclosed reason. Offensive lineman Dennis Finley is questionable with an undisclosed condition.

Rutgers has a very long pile of dismissals, suspensions, and injuries. Dismissed players are as follows: defensive back Andre Boggs, defensive back Deion Stephenson, defensive back Nadir Barnwell, defensive back Razohnn Gross, defensive back Ruhann Peele. Starting wide receiver Leonte Carroo has been suspended and is out indefinitely. Offensive lineman Jacquis Webb is out for the season with a lower body injury, and Rutgers is listing players as having either upper body or lower body injuries, so there’s no need to specify further.

Other Rutgers injuries are as follows: Defensive tackle Darius Hamilton is out for the season. Defensive back Davon Jacobs is questionable. Wide receiver Dontae Owens is questionable. Tight end George Behr is questionable. Wide receiver Jawuan Harris is questionable. Defensive back Brian Verbitski is questionable. Backup running back Charles Snorweah is questionable. Backup running back Desmon Peoples is questionable. Linebacker Austin Rosa is questionable.

 

Handicapping The Game
The Spartans should win, but nothing they do is easy right now. Rutgers, at home, probably can cover this number, so take them with your college football picks.

College Football Pick: Rutgers +15.5 at BetOnline

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2830663, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here