Play #19 FSU -9.5 Over NC St. for a Safe College Football Pick in ACC Battle

David Lawrence

Monday, November 9, 2015 1:50 PM GMT

Monday, Nov. 9, 2015 1:50 PM GMT

Florida State is fresh off a demoralizing loss to Clemson where they blew their chance to win the ACC. How will they follow up and respond? Check our college football pick here.

Momentum
The Wolfpack took care of Boston College last weekend, 24-8. North Carolina State wasn’t flashy or really potent, but it didn’t have to be. Knowing that Florida State was next on the schedule, North Carolina State head coach Dave Doeren kept things simple against one of the worst offenses in the ACC. North Carolina State’s defense has wobbled in the past, but it was true and good against Boston College. The Wolfpack clinched bowl eligibility and will now try to make their bowl a good one.

Florida State is coming off a 23-13 loss at Clemson in which the defense played well, running back Dalvin Cook played well, the offensive line played poorly, and quarterback Sean Maguire was very disappointing. Whether it was health or just the coach’s decision about which man looked better, Florida State went with Maguire the whole game, and that clearly hurt the Seminoles on Saturday. Maguire did not manage the game well. He made a number of ill-advised throws, some of them floaters down the field. He threw a red-zone interception which was very costly.

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Line Moves
The college football odds started with Florida State as a 9.5-point favorite, and that line has remained in place. Florida State did just lose, but the Seminoles lost to a very good team. North Carolina State isn’t anywhere close to Clemson in terms of talent.

 

Notable Injuries
North Carolina State dismissed running back Shadrach Thornton from the team. Wide receiver Elliott Davis and tight end Micah Till left the team. Defensive back Jack Tocho is questionable for this game with an undisclosed condition. Linebacker M.J. Salahudin is questionable with a groin injury. Linebacker Jerod Fernandez is questionable with an ankle injury. Strong safety Shawn Boone is questionable with an undisclosed condition. Offensive lineman Will Richardson is out indefinitely due to a suspension. Starting running back Matt Dayes is out for the season with a toe injury.

Florida State has defensive tackle Nile Lawrence-Stample listed as questionable with a concussion. Defensive back Tyrell Lyons is out for the season with a knee injury. Running back Mario Pender is out indefinitely with a lung injury. Tight end Jalen Wilkerson is out for the season with a shoulder injury. Defensive back Trey Marshall is out for the season with a bicep injury. Offensive lineman Abdul Bello is out for the season with a knee injury. Defensive back Marcus Lewis is questionable for this game with a concussion. Tight end Jeremy Kerr is questionable with a concussion. Offensive lineman Cole Minshew is questionable with a concussion. Offensive lineman Ryan Hoefeld is questionable with a shoulder injury.

 

Handicapping The Game
The North Carolina State Wolfpack and the Florida State Seminoles are playing for different stakes as the season winds down. North Carolina State is playing for a winning record and for the chance to get to .500 in the ACC. Florida State is now playing for the chance to win 10 games, since the ACC Atlantic Division has now been lost to Clemson. If Florida State can get to 10 wins, it might be able to play in a big January bowl game. If it loses one more time and has to settle for a 9-3 record, it will not be very happy with its bowl assignment. Both teams have a lot to play for.

Florida State is going to be a little ticked off. The Seminoles are going to attack this game with an attitude and a sense of purpose. That’s bad for N.C. State, but it should be good for bettors who take the Seminoles. Take FSU with your college football picks.

College Football Pick: Florida State -9.5 at 5Dimes

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