Pick Utah State to Cover -11.5 vs. San Jose State

Ross Benjamin

Monday, November 17, 2014 1:47 PM GMT

Take advantage of this College Football betting guru's free pick as he examines the game between San Jose State and Utah State on Friday, as he has gone 28-12 (70%) for the season right here at Sportsbook Review.

Friday Night Lights in the Mountain West
The Utah State Aggies will play host to the San Jose State Spartans on Friday at Merlin Olsen Field at Romney Stadium. The game will be televised nationally by ESPN2 and the opening kickoff is slated for 9:30 PM ET. According to the College Football betting odds at SBR Sportsbook, Utah State is an 11.5 point favorite, and there was no total posted at the time of this writing. Since 2009, the Aggies have won 5 straight over the Spartans.

 

Struggling Spartans
San Jose State enters this game 3-7 on the season, and has gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4-games. They hit rock bottom last Saturday in a 13-0 home loss as a 10.0 point favorite, versus a Hawaii team that entered the contest with a 2-8 record. The Spartans were shutout despite amassing 462-yards of total offense. San Jose has gone 1-4 SU&ATS on the road this season, and has allowed an average of 36.4 points per game. The Spartans defense has been inept against the run, allowing an average of 5.0 yards per attempt. As a matter of fact, in 5 road tilts this season, they’ve allowed opponents to rush for an average of 310.0 yards per game, and average 6.0 yards per carry. That’s not good news considering they’re facing a Utah State team that’s averaged 267.7 yards rushing during their previous 3-games.

 

Rolling even with the Quarterback Carousel
Utah State enters this week with a stellar 8-3 record, and has won their last 4-games in a row. They’ve continued their winning ways despite losing their top 3-quarterbacks to season ending injuries. They’re down to the 4th quarterback on the depth chart, freshmen Kent Meyer who’s thrown for 4-touchdowns, had just one pass intercepted, and has completed 75.4% of his attempts. The Aggies have relied on a strong running game, and a stout defense, in order to compensate for the injuries sustained at the quarterback position. Utah State has won their last 7 (including against Wyoming 20-7), and 15 of their last 17 home games.

 

Final Analysis
These are two teams headed in opposite directions. Utah State is a +13 in turnover differential for the season, and San Jose is at a -10 on the year. My early lean goes to the home favorite for one of my College Football pick.

Free College Football Pick: Utah State -11.5 over San Jose State at the Greek