Pick USC Trojans -11 in Bounce Back Win Over Oregon State

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, September 23, 2014 2:00 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 23, 2014 2:00 PM GMT

The USC Trojans have won 22 consecutive home games against the Oregon State Beavers, which provides a major edge for the betting favorite at the Los Angeles Coliseum Saturday night.

Light Schedule
Oregon State is 3-0 for the fifth time since 1999, which is important to consider when making your Week 5 college football predictions, but its opponents have put together a dismal 3-8 record.

The Beavers are 11-60-4 SU all-time in this series, but they’ve split the last six meetings despite losing their last 22 trips to this historic venue. 

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 5-5 SU and 7-3 ATS as underdogs, with the OVER going 6-4 in that situation.

 

Coming Off the Bye Week
USC has had some time to digest its 37-31 loss to the Boston College Eagles as 17-point road favorites on Sept. 13, as it was outgained by 432 yards on the ground, while going OVER the betting odds total for the second time in three opportunities.

The Trojans are still trying to familiarize themselves with new schemes on both sides of the ball under first-year head coach Steve Sarkisian, while they’ll welcome back middle linebacker Hayes Pullard for a full game, as he missed the first 30 minutes of action due to a suspension in Week 3.

College football handicappers will find that the squad is 7-2 SU and 4-5 ATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points since 2012.

 

Mannion
Beavers starting quarterback Sean Mannion moved into first place on the school’s career yardage list with 11,339 yards, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college football odds page, but he didn’t throw a touchdown in last week’s 28-7 victory over San Diego State as 10-point home favorites.

Oregon State ranks third nationally in averaging 36:51 in possession time, but it has managed to outgain opponents by just 97 yards on the ground through three games, which means Mannion is still the leader of the offense.

 

Pick Up the Tempo
USC ran a school-record 105 plays against Fresno State in its only home game of the season to this point, which means the offense will need to up its tempo, especially since Sarkisian rolled up 69 points and 692 total yards against Oregon State as Washington’s head coach in 2013.

Trojans quarterback Cody Kessler is enjoying a fantastic start to his season, as he’s completed 71 percent of his passes without an interception, with main target Nelson Agholor having nine receptions in each of the past two contests.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Trojans as one of their Week 5 college football picks, as the home team has covered the number in seven of the last nine meetings in this series.

Collee Football Picks:  USC Trojans -11

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