Pick Ole Miss on the Spread vs. Texas A&M College Football

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, October 8, 2014 2:45 PM GMT

Our resident college football handicapper provides us with an early betting preview on the game between Ole Miss/Texas A&M. Ross concludes this revealing article with a college football free pick against the point-spread.

Red Hot SBR College Football Betting Pro
Ross Benjamin went 3-1 last week with his free college football picks right here at SBR. He cashed in with three outright underdog winners on Mississippi +6.5 in a 23-17 upset over #1 Alabama, TCU +5.0 in a 37-33 shocker over #8 Oklahoma, and FIU +7.5 in a 38-10 rout of FAU. He's now a terrific 18-5 (78.2%) for the season with his free pick articles and videos at SBR.

 

Elite SEC Prime Time Battle
The A&M Aggies will host the “Ole Miss” Rebels on Saturday at Kyle Field in College Station, Texas. The opening kickoff is slated for 9:00 PM ET. According to college football odds, Texas A&M is a 3.0 point favorite, and there was no posted total at the time of this writing. These teams have met each of the past 2-seasons in Oxford, Mississippi, and the Aggies came away with a pair of identical 3-point victories. Mississippi is currently ranked #3 in the Associated Press Poll, and Texas A&M is #14.

 

Danger Game for the Rebels
I’m sure the Ole Miss Rebels will hear every cliché, and innuendo, this coming week pertaining to teams coming off an emotional upset win, versus a team coming off their first loss of the season. However, they’re absolutely for real, and were my sleeper pick in the Southeastern Conference before the season began. If you happened to read my NCAA football betting preview article last week, regarding their game versus Alabama, then hopefully you followed my advice.  The Rebels were coming off a 2-10 season when Freeze took over, and have gone 20-11 since. They possess a plethora of speed defensively, are relentless pass rushers, adept at creating turnovers, and have a 3-year starter at quarterback in senior Bo Wallace. They will probably hear this a million times this week, but the biggest their biggest concern heading into Saturday will be to avoid a huge emotional letdown, following a game in which they beat the #1 team in the country for the first time in school history. This is the first time since the Rebels began the season by going 5-0 since 1962. Putting that into perspective, the president of the United States at that time was John F. Kennedy.

 

Aggies look to Bounce Back
The Texas A&M Aggies suffered their first loss of the season this past Saturday in a 48-31 defeat at Mississippi State. Quite frankly the game wasn’t as close as the final score may indicate. The Aggies were getting blown out 48-17 before scoring two late 4th quarter touchdowns to make it seem a bit more respectable. The Aggies star sophomore quarterback Kenny Hill had his worst game of the season, despite throwing for 365 yards, and 4-touchdowns. Hill entered last week throwing just 2-interceptions during the first 5-games of the season, and was picked off on 3 separate occasions in Saturday’s loss. Casting that aside, Hill had a terrific 1st half of the season, throwing for 2110 yards, 21 touchdowns, and completing 64% of his attempts. The Aggies had allowed just 4-sacks in their first 5-games this season, but Hill was sacked 4-times by the Bulldogs defense last Saturday.

 

Final Analysis
My professional intuition tells me that Ole Miss will have very little falloff in their performance level, despite the magnitude of their win over Alabama. This is a Rebels defense that’s flown under the radar prior to their showing last Saturday. They’re 5th nationally in total defense, and are allowing just 10.2 points per game, which is 2nd best in the country.

The biggest concern for Texas A&M in this matchup will be their shoddy defensive play. Sure the defense played well against the likes of SMU and Lamar. However, in 3 conference game so far, they’ve allowed an average of 492-yards, and 34.7 points per game. Additionally, this will be by far the toughest defense they will have faced this season. The Aggies must win the turnover battle, and avoid becoming one dimensional on offense to come out a winner in this one.

Free College Footbal Pick: Ole Miss +3.5 over Texas A&M at 5Dimes

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