Pick Missouri to Cover Against the Spread vs. UCF

Steven Suarez

Friday, September 12, 2014 6:39 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 12, 2014 6:39 PM UTC

So far so good for the Tigers. They've picked up comfortable wins in their first two games, but things could get a little more difficult against UCF this weekend. Check out our college football odds preview inside.

Odds Overview
It all depends on what sportsbook you use but the Tigers are favored at either 10 or 10.5 for the most part. The total, meanwhile, has dropped a little bit, opening at 54.5 and getting wagered down to its current position of 53.5.

You can track all of the live line movement for this game and the rest of the slate at our live College Football odds page.


UCF Knights
The Knights were involved in a thrilling game to start their season off, though they didn't end up on the winning side. They lost on a last-second field goal, with the final score reading 26-24 in favor of Penn State.

QB Justin Holman had a good game, completing 9-of-14 passes for 204 yards and a touchdown, while also running for an additional two scores. Dontravious Wilson, however, was shut down out of the backfield, as he only had 34 yards on 21 carries.

In terms of receiving, J.J. Worton, Breshad Perriman and Joshua Reese all contributed. Reese caught the lone touchdown pass, with Worton and Perriman combining for eight catches for 164 yards in the losing effort.

It was a tough pill to swallow for UCF in a game they thought they had won, and we know they'll be hungry to come out and redeem themselves with a win in Columbia this Saturday.

The Knights have had an extra week to prepare a game-plan for the Tigers, but will that make a difference? They had a hard time stopping Christian Hackenberg and the Nittany Lions offense, which doesn't bode well for their chances against Maty Mauk and company.


Missouri Tigers
A positive start for the Tigers has seen them crush South Dakota State 38-14 at home on opening week and then Toledo (49-24) on the road.

In the most recent win, Missouri's offense racked up 502 total yards, with 325 coming through the air and the rest accounted for by the run game.

Maty Mauk had another great game, throwing five touchdown passes to make up for his two interceptions. He also ran 12 times for 36 yards and a score in the demolition of Toledo. Bud Sasser, Jimmie Hunt, Darius White and Marcus Murphy all found the end zone.

Russell Hansbrough continued to take on most of the duties out of the backfield. He had 18 rushes for 84 yards and a score, with Murphy settling for a complementary role and running 13 times for 56 yards in the win.

There are still things Missouri needs to work on though, namely stopping the run. The tigers had a tough time with Kareem Hunt (148 yards and three touchdowns) last week, so you have to figure that front seven will want to perform better here against the Knights.


College Football Pick
These two teams last met in 2012, with Missouri emerging as a 21-16 victor as 1.5-point underdogs.

A lot has changed since then, including the College Football odds, but we believe the Tigers will once again get the win while also covering the large spread for their backers.

Mauk has looked assured in leading the offense so far this season, and the Missouri defense has been solid too. We think the Tigers will eventually pull away from the Knights en route to the ATS cover at home.

Free College Football Pick: Missouri Tigers -10 at Pinnacle

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