Pac-12 Week 3 Overview: Washington, Utah Seeking Consistency

Jay Pryce

Tuesday, September 11, 2018 12:21 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 11, 2018 12:21 PM UTC

Our Pac-12 spotlight features No. 10 Washington at Utah, two programs desperatly seeking form and consistency. The rest of the conference sees a pair of rare Mountain West favorites and a trio of FCS matchups. 

Pac-12 Spotlight: No. 10 Washington at UtahSaturday, 10 p.m. ET (ESPN)Free NCAAF Pick: UtesBest Line Offered: Bookmaker

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Washington (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) and Utah (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) are not quite clicking to begin the 2018 campaign. The Huskies entered the third quarter up just 17-3 against FCS North Dakota last Saturday, while the Utes capitalized on a late pick-6 to dispose of MAC opponent Northern Illinois 17-6 in Dekalb. After the win, coach Kyle Wittingham said bluntly, “We’re a pretty average football team right now.”

Since the formation of the Pac 12, either the Huskies or Utes have reached 31 points in every series meeting. The streak could be broken in Week 3. Both of these squads have stellar defenses on paper, but offense is inconsistent throughout. Washington is completely lost in the run game, managing just 79 yards through the first three quarters in the North Dakota victory. The Utes, meanwhile, are coming up 5.8 points shy per game of their projected team total.

Since 1980, Utah (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) has covered the spread in each of the last three seasons catching points against the Huskies. The Utes have surprised offensively, surpassing their projected team total in each by 9.7 points per game. Expect a steady dose of the run. Utah averages 45.7 rushes and 173.7 yards on the ground in this situation. Points will be tough to come by, making for a low-scoring affair. Take the touchdown with the Utes.

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No surprises here. #ChaseHansenIsABeast and is the #UTAHvsNIU Defensive Player of the Week. pic.twitter.com/u5IyPmfSBu

— Utah Football (@Utah_Football) 10 de setembro de 2018
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Around the Pac-12 (All Games Saturday)

UC Davis at No. 9 Stanford, 2 p.m. ET, on PAC12: UC Davis (2-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) is 3-1 ATS against ranked opponents since 2000, catching 42 points or more on the oddsboard in each. The lone loss came in a 45-0 defeat to Stanford (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) as 42.5-point pups in the 2014 opener.

New Hampshire at Colorado, 5 p.m. ET, on PAC12: Colorado (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) is just 3-12 ATS in its last 15 following an outright win catching points. This is just New Hampshire’s (1-1 SU, 0-0 ATS) third test against a Power 5 conference opponent in 25 years.

San Jose State at No. 20 Oregon (-41.5), 5 p.m. ET, on PAC12: Dating back to 2013, Oregon (2-0 SU, 1-0-1 ATS) has failed to cover its last five matchups laying 40 points or more. The underdogs are scoring 19.4 points per game, 6.0 more than projected.

Idaho State at California, 6 p.m. ET, on PAC12: Since 2000, Cal (2-0 SU, 1-0-1 ATS) tops FCS foes by a 46.1 to 13.2 average final score. It owns a 32.9 point differential. Consider these numbers when the line comes out Friday.

Oregon State at Nevada (-4), 7 p.m. ET: The ‘over’ is 7-2 when a Mountain West team kicks off the betting favorite versus a Pac-12 opponent. A combined score of 67.2 points soars 8.8 past a 58.4 average total. Nevada (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) is laying 4 points to Oregon State (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS).

No. 22 USC at Texas (-3.5), 8 p.m. ET, on FOX: USC (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) is 1-6 SU and ATS as a road underdog under head coach Clay Helton. The offense puts up a paltry 19.9 points per game, while allowing 32.3 to opponents.

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One of my favorite things is having a turnover ball shoved in my chest. Can't wait for the next one! The Team is the Ball! #FightOn pic.twitter.com/juUhDqBFiT

— Clay Helton (@USCCoachHelton) 7 de setembro de 2018
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Eastern Washington at Washington State, 8 p.m. ET, on PAC12: The last two meetings between Eastern Washington (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) and Washington State (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) have been determined by 4 and 3 points respectively, despite the Cougars kicking off average 21.2-point favorites.

Fresno State (-1) at UCLA, 10:30 p.m. ET, on FS1: This is just the third time ever UCLA (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS) is catching points against a Mountain West opponent. Fresno State (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS), meanwhile, is 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS versus current Pac-12 foes when laying points over the last 30 years, including a 36-31 win over the Bruins as 7-point chalk in 2008.

No. 23 Arizona State (-4) at San Diego State, 10:30 p.m. ET, on CBSSN: Arizona State (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) is ranked for the first time since 2015, but need to be careful here. San Diego State (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS) is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five as a home underdog, including three straight-up wins. Three opponents entered ranked in the Top 25.

Southern Utah at Arizona, 11 p.m. ET, on PAC12: Arizona (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS) failed to reach market point projections by 12.8 in a 28-23 season-opening defeat to BYU and by 14.5 in a 48-18 rout by Houston. It’s only the seventh time since 2006 coming up short by 10 points or more in two straight contests. The Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in the follow-up efforts, coming up short of the number by an eye-opening 15.2 points per game.

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