Pac-12 School Looking for a Home Blowout: Washington St. vs. California College Football Pick

Mark Lathrop

Friday, October 2, 2015 3:43 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 2, 2015 3:43 PM UTC

The Bay Area Pac 12 ranked college football team California hosts conference opponent Washington State this weekend. We look at the wagering value in this matchup & serve a free pick.

Washington State vs. #24 California – Berkeley (-19, O/U 71)           
The one thing we need to know in this game is that even though Washington State is 2-1, they just had a close game – at home – against Wyoming. Although the score ended up being 31-14, it was closer than that late, and Wyoming had an early lead in the first half. Wyoming happens to be ranked 127th out of 128th in all of the FBS right now and all is not good in the land of the Cowboys. Don’t forget that Wazzu lost to FCS Portland State in their home opener as well. I live about 90 minutes from campus, and let me tell you, folks are pissed there.

Cal fans on the other hand, are riding high after a 4-0 start and the first national ranking since 2009. After not having a winning season since 2011, this is quite the turnaround and new territory for the Bears. The problem with this week’s matchup is that it has trap game written all over it. After this game, Cal has consecutive games against ranked Pac 12 opponents in #10 Utah, #7 UCLA, and #17 USC.

Because of the trap game component to this matchup, I’m weary of the 19 point spread that Cal has to cover. It’s likely to swell to 20 points by game time, although to be honest, I grabbed Cal at -14 when the lines opened at 5Dimes. Good for me. However, the O/U total is pretty compelling. Last year, these teams combined for 119 points in a 60-59 Cal win in Pullman. I have no confidence in Washington State’s defense, as they just got outgained 409-378 by the 127th ranked team in the country. Cal will be amped up, and they won’t take their foot off of the pedal. Look for them to put up 50 or more in this game, which should make the over a winning College Football Pick in this matchup.

College Football Pick: Play Cougars & Bears to go Over 

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