Pac-12 Week 10 Overview: Go Low in Stanford-Washington Clash

Jay Pryce

Tuesday, October 30, 2018 8:06 AM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 30, 2018 8:06 AM UTC

Poor offenses, stout defenses, and firece Pac-12 rivalry is a recipe for a low-scoring under wager. Check out our best bet and spotlight preview on the Stanford-Washington battle Satruday night, as well as opening lines on the rest of the conference action here. 

Pac-12 Spotlight: Stanford at Washington (-9.5)Saturday, 9 p.m. ET, on Pac-12 NetworkFree NCAAF Pick: ‘Under’Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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It’s proven a disappointing campaign so far for the preseason Pac-12 North 1-2 favorites Washington (6-3 SU, 2-7 ATS) and Stanford (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS), each with a trio of defeats. Oddsmakers pit the Huskies 13-point favorites in Games of the Year lines served up back in May. The number dipped by five points after losing two of their last three contests as chalk.

Lackluster offenses plague each program. Not including FCS matchups, the Huskies rank 78th (382.8) and the Cardinal 93rd (367.9) in yards per game nationally. Both units struggle to run the ball, which is needed to give a pair of stout defenses ample rest. Expect a one-dimensional effort from both sides with little scoring.

Washington starting QB Jake Browning was benched in a 12-10 loss at Cal last Saturday for poor performance, but Petersen plans to put him back on the first team against the Cardinal. The connection between Browning, sixth in the 2016 Heisman Trophy race, and first-year offensive coordinator Bush Hamden is ineffective to say the least. The fourth-year starter has thrown just 12 TDs to 8 INTs on 152-of-237 passes.

As the betting favorite, Washington yields 17.2 points per game to Pac-12 rivals behind head coach Chris Petersen. In 33 matchups, only one opponent has surpassed 30 points (Utah 2015). With the offense spiraling downards the last two seasons with Browning under center, the ‘under’ has cashed in 14 of his last 19 Pac-12 starts.

The Cardinal, meanwhile, has been an ‘under’ machine since the formation of the Pac-12 outside of Palo Alto, going 26-10 (72.2 percent) overall. Against unranked opponents, the record improves to an eye-catching 17-4. Stanford surrenders just 16.4 points per game in this spot.

A low-scoring duel will see Stanford stay tight in this one. Lean the Cardinal ATS and pick the ‘under’ for your best bet.

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🏠 this week.#PurpleReign pic.twitter.com/oY4gGwlHNU

— Washington Football (@UW_Football) 29 de outubro de 2018
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Around the Pac-12 (All Games Saturday Unless Noted)


Colorado at Arizona (-4), Friday, 10:30 p.m. ET, on FS1
The ‘under’ is 7-1 when Colorado (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS) goes off with a single-digit line on the road behind head coach Mike MacIntyre. An average 45.4 final score is staying a whopping two touchdowns south of a 59.6 total.

Utah (-7) at Arizona State, 4 p.m. ET, on Pac-12 Network
Utah (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) is just 9-18 SU on the road against Pac-12 foes with a scoring margin above -2 since joining the conference. When kicking off the betting favorite, it is 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS in this situation. Arizona State (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) enters with a 6.0 points differential.

UCLA at Oregon (-8.5), 7:30 p.m. ET, on FOX
Chip Kelly’s return to Oregon (5-3 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) could see some offensive fireworks. The ‘over’ is 20-8-1 (71.4 percent) when the Ducks kick off home favorites in a Pac-12 clash, including nine of the last 10 games. The latter stretch sees a 79.9 combined final score easily top a 70.7 average total.

USC (-14) at Oregon State, 10 p.m. ET, on FS1
Oregon State (2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS) has covered five of its last six catching double digits on the college football oddsboard against USC (4-4 SU, 2-6 ATS).

California at No. 10 Washington State (-10.5), 10:45 p.m. ET, on ESPN
The ‘under’ has cashed in seven of the last eight meetings between California (5-3 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) and Washington State (7-1 SU, 7-1 ATS). The matchup is boom or bust for the Cougars’ Air Raid offense. Behind Mike Leach (2012-present), the program notches 34.5 points per game, scoring 56, 59, and 44 in three clashes, while held to 28, 17, and 3 in the others.

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