Pac-12 Week 13 Overview: Tate, Arizona To Stake Claim In Territorial Cup

Jay Pryce

Monday, November 19, 2018 6:50 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 19, 2018 6:50 PM UTC

Oddsmakers sugggest the battle for the Territorial Cup between Arizona and Arizona State will be a close one. Look for the better QB, the Wildcats' Khalil Tate, to be the difference-maker in this one. Bet Confident with SBRpicks.com.

Pac-12 Spotlight: Arizona (-2) at Arizona StateSaturday, 3:30 p.m. ET, on FS1Free NCAAF Pick: Arizona ATSBest Line Offered: Heritage

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Arizona (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS) is playing with added motivation in the Territorial Cup against Arizona State (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS), a win away from a guaranteed bowl invite. The Wildcats have played in the postseason in eight of the last 10 years. Prior to that, the program went nine years without a bowl appearance.

It’s been a transition year for Arizona under new head coach Kevin Sumlin. One factor that hasn’t changed regarding the team’s success is the play of QB Khalil Tate. The preseason Heisman candidate has been slowed by an ankle injury much of the year. When under center, the Wildcats are a different animal. Since emerging as the starter early last season, Arizona posts 36.4 points and 476.8 yards per game when Tate attempts 10 passes or more.

Like Arizona, the Sun Devils are in a year of change behind first-year head coach Herm Edwards. Inconsistency plagues many areas on the team expect one: its passing defense. Arizona State yields a subpar 61.76 opponent completion percentage and 234.7 passing yards per game. This ranks 83rd and 68th in the FBS respectively.

One just has to examine the passing efficiency of the Sun Devils’ opponents to gauge Edwards’ success. He is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS squaring off against four teams tossing for fewer than 7.92 yards per toss on the season. Versus all others, Arizona State is 1-5 SU and 3-3 ATS. Arizona just squeaks into the latter group at 7.95 yards per pass.

Since 1980, Arizona State is 5-12-1 SU and ATS in the rivalry with a line in-between 6 points. Expect a close game here, but the Sun Devils will find it difficult to chase Tate and Co. off the field. Cats control possession, win, and cover the 2-point spread.

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All Games Saturday (Unless Noted)

Oregon (-14) at Oregon State, Friday, 4 p.m. ET, on FS1

The visiting team has covered the spread in the Civil War between Oregon (7-4 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) and Oregon State (2-9 SU, 4-7 ATS) in 11 of the last 12 matchups. The Ducks are laying two touchdowns on the road at Reser Stadium.

No. 16 Washington at No. 7 Washington State (-3.5), Friday, 8:30 p.m. ET, on FOX

Washington (8-3 SU, 2-9 ATS) is 16-7 SU and 15-8 ATS kicking off with a single-digit line in the Apple Cup since 1980. This includes a 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS mark catching points.

Stanford (-5.5) at UCLA, 3 p.m. ET, on Pac-12 Network

Since the current formation of the Pac-12, the ‘under’ is 20-5 (80.0 percent) when Stanford (6-4 SU, ATS) goes off road chalk in conference play.

Colorado at Cal (-11.5), 7 p.m. ET, on Pac-12 Network

Toss out games against FCS Idaho State and lowly Oregon State and Cal (6-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) posts 16.6 points per game, never scoring more than 24 in a contest. In its last seven contests, Colorado (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS) has surpassed its projected team total once, averaging 20.4 points. Put the ‘under’ on your radar.

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Lock It Up! #EarnIt pic.twitter.com/AiGfNdJTct

— Cal Football (@CalFootball) November 15, 2018
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No. 3 Notre Dame (-10) at USC, 8 p.m. ET, on ABC

In the last 38 matchups, a ranked Notre Dame (11-0 SU, 7-4 ATS) team has kicked off against an unranked USC (5-6 SU, 3-8 ATS) squad twice. The Fightin’ Irish won by 9 (2012) and 10 (2015) points respectively. For what it’s worth, the 6-win difference between the programs is the most ever in the aforementioned span. The previous largest gap is four victories.

BYU at No. 18 Utah (-13.5), 10 p.m. ET, on FS1

BYU (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS) has failed to reach its projected team total in nine of the last 10 in the Holy War. Averaging 18.7 points per game, the Cougars are 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS overall. Utah (8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS), meanwhile, is 27-1 SU and 19-9 ATS (67.9 percent) in out-of-conference action since joining the Pac-12.

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