Big 12 Week 10 Overview: West Virginia & Texas Offenses to Run Wild

Jay Pryce

Monday, October 29, 2018 8:29 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 29, 2018 8:29 PM UTC

You can anticipate a lot of scoring in the second ranked clash in series history between No. 12 West Virginia and No. 15 Texas. Let's check out the matchup and the rest of the Big 12 action in Week 10. 

Big 12 Spotlight: No. 12 West Virginia at No. 15 Texas (-3)Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX)Free NCAAF Pick: 'Over'Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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No. 12 West Virginia (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) and No. 15 Texas (6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS) meet in a ranked clash for the first time since the Mountaineers joined the Big 12 in 2012. The newcomers won that game 48-45, yet both programs finished with four losses or more and missed a New Year’s bowl invite. The stakes in this meeting are higher; each is tied with Oklahoma atop the conference standings. The series is 3-3 SU and ATS in this span.

The key for the Longhorns in this pivotal clash is to shore up a defense prone to gifting huge gains. Coach Tom Herman, who benched starting CBs Kris Boyd and Davante Davis last week at Oklahoma State for the first quarter, saw his defense gashed for 260 yards and 17 points to start. Overall, the unit yielded eight plays of 20 yards or greater in a 38-35 defeat to the Cowboys. For the year, the unit has surrendered 11 plays of 40 yards or more. Only Baylor and Texas Tech have recorded more in the Big 12.

This knack for yielding big plays is dangerous against Heisman candidate QB Will Grier. The West Virginia signal-caller missed last year’s 28-14 loss to Texas with a broken finger in the first quarter, the beginning of three straight defeats for the school to close out 2017. Grier ranks second in passing in the Big 12 with 2,272 yards, 25 TDs, and 7 INTs.

Like Herman, the concern for West Virginia head coach Dana Holgorsen is whether his squad can slow the Texas offense. In nine road Big 12 contests against ranked opponents, the Mountaineers yield 44.9 points per game all-time behind the longtime offensive guru. The numbers only slightly improve when the Mountaineers enter ranked as well, surrendering 38.5 in four efforts. Your best bet is to pick the "over" with both teams primed to give up big gains and plenty of points.

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— WVU Football (@WVUfootball) October 29, 2018
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Around the Big 12 (All Games Saturday)

Oklahoma State (-8) at Baylor, noon ET, on FS1: Baylor (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) opened as a big home underdog with its quarterback situation uncertain. Head coach Matt Rhule yanked starter Charlie Brewer with 6:11 left in the second quarter of a 58-14 loss at West Virginia on Saturday after the sophomore tossed three INTs; he had thrown for just 22 yards, going 3-for-8. Rhule suggested Brewer sustained a concussion and is currently in protocol.

Iowa State (-14.5) at Kansas, noon ET: For those not keeping track, Iowa State (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS) head coach Matt Campbell is 17-5-1 ATS in Big 12 play since coming over from Toledo. This is just the fifth time he will kick off the betting favorite.

Kansas State at TCU (-8), 3:30 p.m. ET, on FS1: Books dangled TCU (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS) a 12-point favorite in advanced lines offered up in May. The Horned Frogs are 1-5 SU and ATS against Power 5 opponents this season, posting just 21.3 points per game. They’ve yet to cover a spread against conference competition. Kansas State (3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS) is 9-10 SU and 13-5-1 ATS as a single-digit underdog since legendary coach Bill Snyder assumed head coaching duties for the second time in 2009.

No. 7 Oklahoma (-10) at Texas Tech, 8 p.m. ET, on ABC: Texas Tech (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS) head coach Kliff Kingsbury yields 45.7 points per game to ranked opponents in nine matchups in Lubbock. Since 2006, Oklahoma (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) is 26-8-1 ATS (76.5 percent) and the "over" 31-4 when scoring 35 points or more on the road.

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