Outstanding Defense & Stellar Road Record Since 2013 Make Duke +3 the College Football Pick vs. Virginia Tech

Ross Benjamin

Friday, October 23, 2015 8:59 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 23, 2015 8:59 PM UTC

Our handicapper breaks down Saturday’s game between Duke and Virginia Tech. Join us in reading this revealing betting preview article which concludes with his college football pick.

Blue Devils & Hokies ACC Battle on Saturday
Virginia Tech and #23 Duke meet on Saturday in an ACC battle. The opening kickoff at Lane Stadium in Blacksburg, Virginia is slated for 3:30 PM ET. Current (10/23) college football odds at 5Dimes indicates that Virginia Tech is a 3-point favorite. The road team has won both games played between these teams in each of the last two seasons. Both of those contests easily went under the total with Virginia Tech winning 17-16 last year, and Duke coming out on top in 2013 by a score of 13-10.


Duke’s Elite Defense
Duke is allowing a paltry 9.3 points and 252.8 yards per game this season. So it comes as no surprise that each of their first six games in 2015 have gone under the total. Putting things into perspective as to how dominate their defense has been, they’ve allowed 7 points or less in four of six games. It’s not as if their offense has been horrible. Duke is averaging 31.5 points and 412.8 yards per game. You may be surprised to know that since the start of the 2013 season, Duke has gone 11-1 in away games, and were 10-2 ATS in those contests as well. That successful stretch also includes 5-0 SU&ATS in their previous five away contests.


Opponents no Longer Fear Playing at Lane Stadium
There was a long stretch of time that Virginia Tech was just about unbeatable in Blacksburg. That invincibility factor has dissipated in recent seasons. The Hokies are 5-7 in their last 12 games at Lane Stadium, and that includes a dismal 1-5 SU&ATS in their last six as a conference home favorite. On a positive note, Michael Brewer will make his first start since the season opener against #1 Ohio State. Brewer was forced out of that contest during the first half after sustaining a shoulder injury. He made a brief appearance in last Saturday’s 30-20 loss at Miami, went 3-for-4 passing which included a touchdown toss, and was intercepted once as well.


Final Analysis
The only down side to Duke’s 5-1 start is their lack of schedule strength. Their only real true test came at home against then nationally ranked Northwestern, and they were on the short of a 19-10 final score. However, I can’t ignore their stellar defensive play, and their uncanny ability to win on the road. I’m leaning toward the road underdog in this game for one of my college football picks this week.

College Football Picks: Play on Duke +3 (-105) at 5Dimes

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