Outback Bowl Update - Recent Activity Reinforces Capper's Previous Pick

Iowa Hawkeyes

Doug Upstone

Thursday, December 29, 2016 6:54 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 29, 2016 6:54 PM UTC

From our original article here at sportbookreview.com and the Odds Couple video we did, we have seen a modest fluctuation on the side action for this early Jan. 2 contest.

Florida opened as two-point favorite over Iowa and this week has been jettisoned to -3, with the total holding steady at 40.5.

These football programs have two prior New Year's bowl meetings in the last dozen years and they were also in the Outback Bowl. Florida was crushed by Iowa 37-17 (-3) in 2004 and got revenge two years later as a Pick, 31-24. Iowa played better away from home at 4-1 (3-2 ATS). Florida's injuries played a role is 2-5 ATS road record.

A look at the latest betting trends for those making college football picks finds the betting public split down the middle on this bowl confrontation at 50-50, with over 90 percent backing the UNDER on totals action.

From my perspective, this is even better value, because I picked Iowa to win outright anyways, so if you have not made a selection and agree with me, getting three points is terrific compared to two on such a key number.

We could see a lot of the chain gang for measurements, because every first down would seem to be by inches with these offenses and defenses. By the second half, you will know the punter for each team well and start calling him by his first name. Everything points to a low-scoring affair and with Iowa more confident and having the better quarterback to make a few big plays, it will be the Hawkeyes 20-17.

Also, liked the UNDER from the start, believing Iowa wins 20-17.

NCAAF Free Picks: Iowa +2 & 'Under' 40.5Best Lines Offered: at Bookmaker

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