Oklahoma vs. Texas: College Football Picks

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, October 9, 2013 1:45 PM GMT

The Oklahoma Sooners have won their last three games against the Texas Longhorns, as the two teams prepare to meet up in the 108th AT&T Red River Rivalry Saturday.

Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds for this Big 12 Conference matchup at the Cotton Bowl, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET on ABC.

Take a look at my College Football Picks: Opening Odds Report for Week 6.

The upper hand 

Oklahoma is 5-0 SU and 3-2 ATS through its first five games of the 2013 campaign, as it comes off a 20-17 victory over the TCU Horned Frogs as 10-point home favorites last Saturday, while going UNDER the betting total of 47.

The Sooners are 9-5 in this rivalry under head coach Bob Stoops, including wins in the last three meetings—outscoring the Longhorns by a 146-58 combined margin over that span. 

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program has won and covered the number in both of its opportunities as neutral-site favorites of 10.5 to 14 points.

Problems on defense

The Texas Longhorns have won back-to-back games for the first time this season, but they still have major problems on the defensive side of the ball, as it ranks 108th nationally in yielding 465.4 yards per game. 

The Longhorns have been particularly poor at stopping the run, as they enter this high-profile affair giving up 248.4 yards per game on the ground, which could spell trouble against a potent Sooners offensive attack.

Early adjustments

College football handicappers may want to back the Sooners in the opening 30 minutes, as they’ve outscored opponents by a 57-0 advantage in the second quarter this season.

Oklahoma has outscored Texas by a 91-19 combined margin in the first half in winning the last three meetings in this series.

Historical significance  

It’s important to point out that the Longhorns are the only Big 12 program with a winning all-time record against the Sooners, but they’ve also gone 2-25-1 SU in their last 28 games a double-digit underdog.

[gameodds]6/246685/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Sooners in the first half with their college football picks, as the Longhorns have lost and failed to cover the number in their last two games as underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points. 

Oklahoma will likely be released as a first-half favorite of nine points or less—a number that offers value in the sports betting market

College Football Pick:  Oklahoma Sooners First Half